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Rory Driscoll

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
613 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Brex Acquired for $5.15BN | a16z Companies are 2/3 AI Revenues | Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket | OpenEvidence Raises at $12BN Valuation | The IPO Market: EquipmentShare, Wealthfront and Ethos Insurance

And the guys running that are saying, we're going to need a whole bunch more CapEx.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Brex Acquired for $5.15BN | a16z Companies are 2/3 AI Revenues | Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket | OpenEvidence Raises at $12BN Valuation | The IPO Market: EquipmentShare, Wealthfront and Ethos Insurance

And it was just interesting, because I think keeping an eye on TSMC as the people who would own the problem if they overinvest.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Brex Acquired for $5.15BN | a16z Companies are 2/3 AI Revenues | Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket | OpenEvidence Raises at $12BN Valuation | The IPO Market: EquipmentShare, Wealthfront and Ethos Insurance

You can cut employees.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Brex Acquired for $5.15BN | a16z Companies are 2/3 AI Revenues | Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket | OpenEvidence Raises at $12BN Valuation | The IPO Market: EquipmentShare, Wealthfront and Ethos Insurance

You can turn off your GPU.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Brex Acquired for $5.15BN | a16z Companies are 2/3 AI Revenues | Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket | OpenEvidence Raises at $12BN Valuation | The IPO Market: EquipmentShare, Wealthfront and Ethos Insurance

But if you dig a big, deep hole in the ground in Phoenix and a big, deep hole in the ground in Japan and put a fab in there and no one uses it, you're out $20 billion.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Brex Acquired for $5.15BN | a16z Companies are 2/3 AI Revenues | Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket | OpenEvidence Raises at $12BN Valuation | The IPO Market: EquipmentShare, Wealthfront and Ethos Insurance

And they're leaning in right now.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Brex Acquired for $5.15BN | a16z Companies are 2/3 AI Revenues | Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket | OpenEvidence Raises at $12BN Valuation | The IPO Market: EquipmentShare, Wealthfront and Ethos Insurance

So that inference demand is pretty clearly there, according to all the tells.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Brex Acquired for $5.15BN | a16z Companies are 2/3 AI Revenues | Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket | OpenEvidence Raises at $12BN Valuation | The IPO Market: EquipmentShare, Wealthfront and Ethos Insurance

Not every statement that says it's going to go on now has to be equally correct.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Brex Acquired for $5.15BN | a16z Companies are 2/3 AI Revenues | Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket | OpenEvidence Raises at $12BN Valuation | The IPO Market: EquipmentShare, Wealthfront and Ethos Insurance

A bunch of people who have the money, starting with the foundries, going to the chip companies, and going to the hyperscale, have all said, we're going to spend this money this year.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Brex Acquired for $5.15BN | a16z Companies are 2/3 AI Revenues | Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket | OpenEvidence Raises at $12BN Valuation | The IPO Market: EquipmentShare, Wealthfront and Ethos Insurance

So I think it's highly unlikely that you can.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Brex Acquired for $5.15BN | a16z Companies are 2/3 AI Revenues | Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket | OpenEvidence Raises at $12BN Valuation | The IPO Market: EquipmentShare, Wealthfront and Ethos Insurance

This is not going to be the year where people get terrified and say, I'm not going to do it.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Brex Acquired for $5.15BN | a16z Companies are 2/3 AI Revenues | Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket | OpenEvidence Raises at $12BN Valuation | The IPO Market: EquipmentShare, Wealthfront and Ethos Insurance

At some point, I think they will, because I think we probably are overinvesting at some level.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Brex Acquired for $5.15BN | a16z Companies are 2/3 AI Revenues | Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket | OpenEvidence Raises at $12BN Valuation | The IPO Market: EquipmentShare, Wealthfront and Ethos Insurance

But right now, people are saying, I can see logic to this thing for the next 12, 24 months.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Brex Acquired for $5.15BN | a16z Companies are 2/3 AI Revenues | Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket | OpenEvidence Raises at $12BN Valuation | The IPO Market: EquipmentShare, Wealthfront and Ethos Insurance

Despite the massive gap between the huge, the CapEx is now 600 billion, the apps revenue, you know, squinting is 100 billion.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Brex Acquired for $5.15BN | a16z Companies are 2/3 AI Revenues | Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket | OpenEvidence Raises at $12BN Valuation | The IPO Market: EquipmentShare, Wealthfront and Ethos Insurance

So you're still, you know, 500 billion a year in the hole.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Brex Acquired for $5.15BN | a16z Companies are 2/3 AI Revenues | Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket | OpenEvidence Raises at $12BN Valuation | The IPO Market: EquipmentShare, Wealthfront and Ethos Insurance

But right now, people are saying the return is there.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Brex Acquired for $5.15BN | a16z Companies are 2/3 AI Revenues | Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket | OpenEvidence Raises at $12BN Valuation | The IPO Market: EquipmentShare, Wealthfront and Ethos Insurance

That's all you can conclude right now.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Brex Acquired for $5.15BN | a16z Companies are 2/3 AI Revenues | Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket | OpenEvidence Raises at $12BN Valuation | The IPO Market: EquipmentShare, Wealthfront and Ethos Insurance

If you knew when it was going to happen to the day, you'd be trading NVIDIA put.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Brex Acquired for $5.15BN | a16z Companies are 2/3 AI Revenues | Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket | OpenEvidence Raises at $12BN Valuation | The IPO Market: EquipmentShare, Wealthfront and Ethos Insurance

Because to take, for example, that statement, the cost of interest, the cost per token goes down enormously quickly.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Brex Acquired for $5.15BN | a16z Companies are 2/3 AI Revenues | Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket | OpenEvidence Raises at $12BN Valuation | The IPO Market: EquipmentShare, Wealthfront and Ethos Insurance

And it's just that demand expands and just people use more and more tokens to get the same dollar amount, right?