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Rory Driscoll

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
613 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Brex Acquired for $5.15BN | a16z Companies are 2/3 AI Revenues | Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket | OpenEvidence Raises at $12BN Valuation | The IPO Market: EquipmentShare, Wealthfront and Ethos Insurance

It's a perfectly innocuous sentence, but buried in it is a whole debt trap because the minute 22 came on, the growth rate faded, right?

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Brex Acquired for $5.15BN | a16z Companies are 2/3 AI Revenues | Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket | OpenEvidence Raises at $12BN Valuation | The IPO Market: EquipmentShare, Wealthfront and Ethos Insurance

Then your capital gets more scarce, so you have to try and converge on profitability.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Brex Acquired for $5.15BN | a16z Companies are 2/3 AI Revenues | Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket | OpenEvidence Raises at $12BN Valuation | The IPO Market: EquipmentShare, Wealthfront and Ethos Insurance

So growth rate goes down even more.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Brex Acquired for $5.15BN | a16z Companies are 2/3 AI Revenues | Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket | OpenEvidence Raises at $12BN Valuation | The IPO Market: EquipmentShare, Wealthfront and Ethos Insurance

And, you know, what was a totally legitimate belief in 2021, which is three more years of 300% growth and I'm worth 12 billion, becomes utterly insane in 2024.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Brex Acquired for $5.15BN | a16z Companies are 2/3 AI Revenues | Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket | OpenEvidence Raises at $12BN Valuation | The IPO Market: EquipmentShare, Wealthfront and Ethos Insurance

It's just the cost of doing business in this crazy game that everyone plays.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Brex Acquired for $5.15BN | a16z Companies are 2/3 AI Revenues | Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket | OpenEvidence Raises at $12BN Valuation | The IPO Market: EquipmentShare, Wealthfront and Ethos Insurance

For example, for the late stage investors, if you played a game of paying up massively for hyper growth and it doesn't work, you get a 1X.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Brex Acquired for $5.15BN | a16z Companies are 2/3 AI Revenues | Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket | OpenEvidence Raises at $12BN Valuation | The IPO Market: EquipmentShare, Wealthfront and Ethos Insurance

Now, as long as maybe 30%, 40% of them are the 1x, and you don't do any major whoopsies where you actually get a loss, and you get a 3, 4, 5, 6x on your good ends, then overall, the math works.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Brex Acquired for $5.15BN | a16z Companies are 2/3 AI Revenues | Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket | OpenEvidence Raises at $12BN Valuation | The IPO Market: EquipmentShare, Wealthfront and Ethos Insurance

And even in a mediocre year like 21, you end up with a sub 2x, but still perfectly fine fund.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Brex Acquired for $5.15BN | a16z Companies are 2/3 AI Revenues | Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket | OpenEvidence Raises at $12BN Valuation | The IPO Market: EquipmentShare, Wealthfront and Ethos Insurance

In other words, I go back to my comment.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Brex Acquired for $5.15BN | a16z Companies are 2/3 AI Revenues | Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket | OpenEvidence Raises at $12BN Valuation | The IPO Market: EquipmentShare, Wealthfront and Ethos Insurance

It's just the nature of the business.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Brex Acquired for $5.15BN | a16z Companies are 2/3 AI Revenues | Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket | OpenEvidence Raises at $12BN Valuation | The IPO Market: EquipmentShare, Wealthfront and Ethos Insurance

It's one of my things that I've said a lot in this podcast.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Brex Acquired for $5.15BN | a16z Companies are 2/3 AI Revenues | Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket | OpenEvidence Raises at $12BN Valuation | The IPO Market: EquipmentShare, Wealthfront and Ethos Insurance

Things prove up in the end for what they really are, not what you delusionally think they are at one point in time.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Brex Acquired for $5.15BN | a16z Companies are 2/3 AI Revenues | Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket | OpenEvidence Raises at $12BN Valuation | The IPO Market: EquipmentShare, Wealthfront and Ethos Insurance

A financial services company was always going to trade at a financial services multiple adjusted for growth.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Brex Acquired for $5.15BN | a16z Companies are 2/3 AI Revenues | Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket | OpenEvidence Raises at $12BN Valuation | The IPO Market: EquipmentShare, Wealthfront and Ethos Insurance

And that's what happened here.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Brex Acquired for $5.15BN | a16z Companies are 2/3 AI Revenues | Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket | OpenEvidence Raises at $12BN Valuation | The IPO Market: EquipmentShare, Wealthfront and Ethos Insurance

So growth came down to still very impressive, but normalized levels.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Brex Acquired for $5.15BN | a16z Companies are 2/3 AI Revenues | Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket | OpenEvidence Raises at $12BN Valuation | The IPO Market: EquipmentShare, Wealthfront and Ethos Insurance

Capone leaned in and said, you know, $700 million in growth, plus or minus seven times revenues.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Brex Acquired for $5.15BN | a16z Companies are 2/3 AI Revenues | Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket | OpenEvidence Raises at $12BN Valuation | The IPO Market: EquipmentShare, Wealthfront and Ethos Insurance

That's a good deal for me.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Brex Acquired for $5.15BN | a16z Companies are 2/3 AI Revenues | Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket | OpenEvidence Raises at $12BN Valuation | The IPO Market: EquipmentShare, Wealthfront and Ethos Insurance

I think this is a great question because remember I said there's three things.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Brex Acquired for $5.15BN | a16z Companies are 2/3 AI Revenues | Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket | OpenEvidence Raises at $12BN Valuation | The IPO Market: EquipmentShare, Wealthfront and Ethos Insurance

There's the is it standard on a great outcome?

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Brex Acquired for $5.15BN | a16z Companies are 2/3 AI Revenues | Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket | OpenEvidence Raises at $12BN Valuation | The IPO Market: EquipmentShare, Wealthfront and Ethos Insurance

And then, of course, is it a great outcome for the investors versus 2021?