Ruby Jones

Today, a new member will be elected.

And while the race is tight, One Nation's David Farley is ahead in the polls.

He'll be picking up coalition preferences, but faces a strong challenge from independent Michelle Milthorpe.

So will One Nation win its first ever federal lower house seat?

And if so, what will that signal for the future of conservative politics?

Today, ABC election analyst Casey Briggs on the fight for Farrah.

It's Saturday, May 9.

Casey, hello and welcome to 7am.

Absolutely.

So people in Farah are heading out to the polls this morning and this by-election, I mean, it's not going to change the balance of power right now, but obviously in the context of the rising popularity of One Nation, every by-election is important.

Every by-election is being watched with a lot of intensity.

So tell me about where things lie.

Can we talk more about the seat itself?

Because the reason this by-election is happening in the first place is because of Susan Lee, the former Liberal leader, her resignation.

She was the member for Farrah for 24 years.

So traditionally, obviously, a very safe coalition seat.

Can we talk a little more about One Nation's campaign?

Because there's also been these signs that have appeared expressing support for Ben Robert Smith, who has, of course, been charged with war crimes.

So what do you make of that?

And what about this disagreement, I guess, verbal altercation that James Patterson, the Liberal Senator, got into with a One Nation volunteer?