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Ruchir Sharma

πŸ‘€ Speaker
241 total appearances
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Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Unhedged
How to surf turbulent markets

I mean, just to put it like in perspective, that America used to run a budget deficit of 3% of GDP last decade.

Unhedged
How to surf turbulent markets

Now it is 6% is the new normal.

Unhedged
How to surf turbulent markets

And that came to be after the pandemic.

Unhedged
How to surf turbulent markets

So that offset it.

Unhedged
How to surf turbulent markets

So that's my point, Robert, that it sort of offset it in terms of it.

Unhedged
How to surf turbulent markets

But at this stage, you don't have that room.

Unhedged
How to surf turbulent markets

And in fact...

Unhedged
How to surf turbulent markets

the feedback mechanism can easily go the other way.

Unhedged
How to surf turbulent markets

Let's say that America has a downturn.

Unhedged
How to surf turbulent markets

Every time America has a downturn, the deficit goes up by four percentage points.

Unhedged
How to surf turbulent markets

So we're looking at a 9% to 10% deficit of GDP this time if America has a downturn.

Unhedged
How to surf turbulent markets

So the U.S.

Unhedged
How to surf turbulent markets

On defense, yeah, that's one statistic which is out there.

Unhedged
How to surf turbulent markets

You can cut this in many ways, but I'm saying so that is the real risk.

Unhedged
How to surf turbulent markets

Something happens to interest rates, then the feedback mechanism, the feedback loop goes the other way twice as fast.

Unhedged
How to surf turbulent markets

Well, I'm just going to stick to the theme that I've said today because I get it all the time, which is that buy this basket of quality stocks and just don't worry about when this AI bubble will burst.

Unhedged
How to surf turbulent markets

Is it a bubble or not?

Unhedged
How to surf turbulent markets

It's agnostic to that.

Unhedged
How to surf turbulent markets

So, you know, just do that.

Unhedged
How to surf turbulent markets

And, you know, just go and, you know, for the next three to five years, you know, just be…