Ryan Burge
๐ค SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
Not that they're actually going to church.
They just say they're religious because that's what their tribe does.
They're people of faith.
But, and this is such an important point, the share of Americans who are non-religious will go up in the future unless something dramatic changes that we've never seen before in the history of modern polling.
And that would, you know, the reason for that is because millennials, about 40% of them claim no religious affiliation.
And among Gen Z, it's around 45%.
Yeah.
And guess what?
Boomers are going to die by the tens of millions in the years to come.
And as they exit the surveys, they're going to be replaced by Gen Z. So boomers are around 22% non-religious.
Gen Z are 45% non-religious.
So for every boomer that dies and replaced by a Gen Z, the
aggregate number of nuns is going to rise because of generational replacement.
So this is just a pause.
I do not expect the line to go down in the future, or if it goes down, it won't go down by much, because we're basically waiting for the boomers to exit the stage, and they will be doing that in the next 10 or 15 years.
Yeah, I think that's the most plausible explanation with the data that we have right now.
To parse out young people, by the way, is really hard, Derek, like from a polling standpoint, because they're a hard group to poll first off because they're hard to contact.
They don't want to do anything online except โ
watch memes and bet on Bitcoin and do OnlyFans.
They don't want to answer surveys, unfortunately.