Ryan
๐ค SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
I guess it's a lesser Oscars, but it also includes TV.
Anyway, so during the Golden Globes where they announced who's going to win what award, what movies, what films, this sort of thing, Polymarket was at the bottom.
So I was predicting they showed the odds ahead of time.
And the momentum we've seen, I think, on prediction markets, things like polymarket this year has been pretty phenomenal.
I mean, you got you got to see how this just continues.
Right.
Madero, the Madero market was absolutely insane to watch at the time of his capture.
I know you are watching this market right now.
Iran's supreme leader, will he be out by January 31st?
There's January 31st and every month there's a prediction of the probability that he would be out.
This has been spiking.
This has shown some really interesting movement here lately.
What's your take on this?
Is this speculation that it would be a Trump and Maduro type thing?
Or is this inside revolution?
Or is this he gets to pose some other way?
No one knows, but you can participate in this market.
You can trade this market.
Okay, so 34% the odds that he would be out by the end of 2026.
That was just the beginning of January, and it spiked all the way up to 66%.