Sam Altman

I think that while you might take issue with some of his logic and some of his graphs, and maybe he's hand-waving past certain potential limits in the development of this technology, he is getting at something real, which is that it does seem like even though AI is essentially topic number one in tech, it doesn't feel like people are really reckoning with the potential consequences should have.

I think that while you might take issue with some of his logic and some of his graphs, and maybe he's hand-waving past certain potential limits in the development of this technology, he is getting at something real, which is that it does seem like even though AI is essentially topic number one in tech, it doesn't feel like people are really reckoning with the potential consequences should have.

You know, some people may listen to this and say, well, you know, Casey has sort of fallen for all of the hype here. You know, there remains this contingent of people who believe that this whole thing is a house of cards and that once the successor to GPT-4 comes out, we will see that the rate of progress has slowed. And in fact, no one is going to invent superintelligence anytime soon.

You know, some people may listen to this and say, well, you know, Casey has sort of fallen for all of the hype here. You know, there remains this contingent of people who believe that this whole thing is a house of cards and that once the successor to GPT-4 comes out, we will see that the rate of progress has slowed. And in fact, no one is going to invent superintelligence anytime soon.

You know, some people may listen to this and say, well, you know, Casey has sort of fallen for all of the hype here. You know, there remains this contingent of people who believe that this whole thing is a house of cards and that once the successor to GPT-4 comes out, we will see that the rate of progress has slowed. And in fact, no one is going to invent superintelligence anytime soon.

And all of these things are just going to sort of wash away. It might just be an effect of who I spend my time with and the conversations that are happening at dinners and drinks in San Francisco every day. But I am more or less persuaded that we are very close to having technology that is smarter than very smart humans in most cases.

And all of these things are just going to sort of wash away. It might just be an effect of who I spend my time with and the conversations that are happening at dinners and drinks in San Francisco every day. But I am more or less persuaded that we are very close to having technology that is smarter than very smart humans in most cases.

And all of these things are just going to sort of wash away. It might just be an effect of who I spend my time with and the conversations that are happening at dinners and drinks in San Francisco every day. But I am more or less persuaded that we are very close to having technology that is smarter than very smart humans in most cases.

And that if you are the person who controls the keys to that technology, then yes, you will be extraordinarily powerful.

And that if you are the person who controls the keys to that technology, then yes, you will be extraordinarily powerful.

And that if you are the person who controls the keys to that technology, then yes, you will be extraordinarily powerful.

Yes, and there's actually this really fascinating precedent for this in Silicon Valley. So we call Silicon Valley Silicon Valley because it was where the semiconductor industry was founded. And the biggest early semiconductor company was called Fairchild. And much like OpenAI, in the early days of chip manufacturing, it attracted all the best talent.

Yes, and there's actually this really fascinating precedent for this in Silicon Valley. So we call Silicon Valley Silicon Valley because it was where the semiconductor industry was founded. And the biggest early semiconductor company was called Fairchild. And much like OpenAI, in the early days of chip manufacturing, it attracted all the best talent.

Yes, and there's actually this really fascinating precedent for this in Silicon Valley. So we call Silicon Valley Silicon Valley because it was where the semiconductor industry was founded. And the biggest early semiconductor company was called Fairchild. And much like OpenAI, in the early days of chip manufacturing, it attracted all the best talent.

But one by one, for various reasons, a lot of people leave Fairchild and they go on to start their own companies, companies with names like Intel.

But one by one, for various reasons, a lot of people leave Fairchild and they go on to start their own companies, companies with names like Intel.

But one by one, for various reasons, a lot of people leave Fairchild and they go on to start their own companies, companies with names like Intel.

And there wind up being so many of these companies that they start calling them the Fairchildren because they were born out of this initial company that sort of seeded the ecosystem with talent, made some of the key early discoveries, and then lost all of that talent. My guess is you probably didn't know the name Fairchild before I said it just now, but you do know the name Intel. Yeah.

And there wind up being so many of these companies that they start calling them the Fairchildren because they were born out of this initial company that sort of seeded the ecosystem with talent, made some of the key early discoveries, and then lost all of that talent. My guess is you probably didn't know the name Fairchild before I said it just now, but you do know the name Intel. Yeah.

And there wind up being so many of these companies that they start calling them the Fairchildren because they were born out of this initial company that sort of seeded the ecosystem with talent, made some of the key early discoveries, and then lost all of that talent. My guess is you probably didn't know the name Fairchild before I said it just now, but you do know the name Intel. Yeah.