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Sam Dickie

πŸ‘€ Speaker
267 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

Always excited.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

Yeah, very unprecedented, unprecedented excitement.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

Yeah, kind of everything actually.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

So they are large, so $3.5 trillion if they all get away this year trying to squeeze that through a fairly narrow IPO window.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

So that's the size of the French GDP in six months.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

Wow.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

And for context, so SpaceX is raising $75 billion and the other two, if you believe that, the press are raising maybe $100, $125 billion between them.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

So that's $200 billion between three companies in the space of six months.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

For context, the IPO boom and the dot-com boom was about $200 billion, but that was over 1,000 companies, so very concentrated.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

And I think you touched on something really interesting there is the scale of capital that's sloshing around in private markets.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

So in the old days, there was only a small amount of private capital that could access private markets.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

So typically, you nursed a company from early stage through to still quite early stage with small licks of capital

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

until it got to IPO and that's when the liquidity window opened and you had access to maximum liquidity and then you built the company from there.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

Now, a lot of people have access to private markets, sovereign wealth funds, huge mutual funds,

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

big pension funds, you've got a lot of capital sloshing around.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

So to give you some context, OpenAI a couple of months ago raised a private round over a couple of weeks of $125 billion.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

Now for context, the ultra-liquid IPO market, the biggest IPO in history was $30 billion.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

There's plenty of capital to keep these companies private forever.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

So the cynic would say the reason they hit the IPO market is not to access more capital to build and grow, but to give insiders a big liquidity event.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

To be clear, I don't agree with that cynical view, but it's just a different perspective.

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