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Sam Dickie

πŸ‘€ Speaker
267 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

Actually, what I would just quickly mention is it was more of an unwritten rule was during the IPO window, which could be anything from sort of three to six months before, it was generally accepted that insiders would be very, very quiet because you couldn't be seen to be... But no one told Elon.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

You couldn't be seen to be spruiking your company.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

It's not just Elon.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

It's...

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

Anyone with a vested interest, any VC firm, there's podcasts galore, there's tweets.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

So that's one sort of unwritten rule that's been broken.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

In terms of actual rules that have been changed, not so much broken, is the S&P 500, the Bellwether Index, there'll be a stand down period for, say, 12 months.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

Certain liquidity requirements will have to be, in terms of free float, will have to be hit.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

And also profit gates will have to be hit as well, which I think is really important for sort of long term growth.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

more stable quality investors.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

The NASDAQ, however, has said that they will include this fully at its index weighting within the sort of first couple of weeks.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

So that's going to be sort of mechanical buying from passive funds who track the NASDAQ 100 index.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

That's right.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

So that clearly doesn't mean that the company's any better than it was the day before.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

It just means these index funds have to get set.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

Legally, they have to get set within a very short space of time.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

So that's just a huge amount of mechanical buying that eventually stops.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

And you sort of do the maths on demand supply.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

When that sort of artificial demand stops for the stock, you can see some gravity.

The Prosperity Project
SpaceX just went public. Opportunity or bubble?

And that often does coincide with when the lockup comes off.