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Sam Watkins

πŸ‘€ Speaker
249 total appearances
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Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Equity Mates Investing Podcast
Where Bonds Go, Stocks Follow with Sam Watkins

And what I'm alluding to here is perhaps the one thing which is more certain is the very high level of capital expenditure that we're seeing that has been announced and it is underway right now.

Equity Mates Investing Podcast
Where Bonds Go, Stocks Follow with Sam Watkins

What is less certain is the dividend and the timing of the AI productivity gain and where that's going to appear.

Equity Mates Investing Podcast
Where Bonds Go, Stocks Follow with Sam Watkins

And there will be winners and there will be losers from that in various industries.

Equity Mates Investing Podcast
Where Bonds Go, Stocks Follow with Sam Watkins

Taking that

Equity Mates Investing Podcast
Where Bonds Go, Stocks Follow with Sam Watkins

you know all in and trying to work out and explain perhaps how pimco is approaching this what we would say is that our approach is not to treat ai as a single trade or a single thesis instead what it is is to look across the whole ecosystem of what ai and a new technology is creating and

Equity Mates Investing Podcast
Where Bonds Go, Stocks Follow with Sam Watkins

And what we do is look through a lens of those industries where we have confidence that they're going to be in the winner's camp.

Equity Mates Investing Podcast
Where Bonds Go, Stocks Follow with Sam Watkins

And I think there's some where there's uncertainty, but there's some that are more certain.

Equity Mates Investing Podcast
Where Bonds Go, Stocks Follow with Sam Watkins

And those would be such as semiconductors, members of the cloud and the digital infrastructure chain.

Equity Mates Investing Podcast
Where Bonds Go, Stocks Follow with Sam Watkins

Those are areas where we would have a high degree of confidence that they're going to be in the winner's camp from AI.

Equity Mates Investing Podcast
Where Bonds Go, Stocks Follow with Sam Watkins

There are other industries where disruption may actually outweigh the benefits that AI may bring in terms of productivity gain.

Equity Mates Investing Podcast
Where Bonds Go, Stocks Follow with Sam Watkins

And so there'd be areas where we would be more reticent to be putting capital to work.

Equity Mates Investing Podcast
Where Bonds Go, Stocks Follow with Sam Watkins

All of this feeds into our investment process when we're looking at investments, whether they be in more traditional industries such as banking or insurance, or whether they be in new industries which are around the technology space.

Equity Mates Investing Podcast
Where Bonds Go, Stocks Follow with Sam Watkins

In the credit market, as I've highlighted, what we're seeing is a large amount of AI-driven debt issuance.

Equity Mates Investing Podcast
Where Bonds Go, Stocks Follow with Sam Watkins

This capital expenditure is being largely financed by debt, especially amongst those larger technology companies, where what they are doing is building very substantial data center and related energy plants to support the data center creation.

Equity Mates Investing Podcast
Where Bonds Go, Stocks Follow with Sam Watkins

And so what that's doing is creating a very interesting relationship

Equity Mates Investing Podcast
Where Bonds Go, Stocks Follow with Sam Watkins

and deep pipeline of opportunities that PIMCO is able to review.

Equity Mates Investing Podcast
Where Bonds Go, Stocks Follow with Sam Watkins

What we are being is very selective.

Equity Mates Investing Podcast
Where Bonds Go, Stocks Follow with Sam Watkins

So the way I would describe it, we're focusing on quality,

Equity Mates Investing Podcast
Where Bonds Go, Stocks Follow with Sam Watkins

So that means we're focusing on the highest rated issuers of debt in the space.

Equity Mates Investing Podcast
Where Bonds Go, Stocks Follow with Sam Watkins

We're focusing on relative value, which is to say that when we assess these different investments, we're looking at where we might be able to take a similar risk and how that's pricing relative to the investment that we're looking at.