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Sarah Paine

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
8864 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
How Hitler almost starved Britain โ€“ Sarah Paine

You should ideally add up all the complementary capabilities of you and your friends and then share them, divvy them out in an optimal way to deal with things.

Dwarkesh Podcast
How Hitler almost starved Britain โ€“ Sarah Paine

Well, the Axis alliance was also additive in the sense that the Germans added to their GDP, the GDPs of all the places they occupied that pretty much accounted for GDP growth in Germany, except

Dwarkesh Podcast
How Hitler almost starved Britain โ€“ Sarah Paine

That whole way of doing things involves big occupation forces, which are big overhead of these conquered places, and you've also damaged them in the conquest, whereas the Allies are all game to help each other.

Dwarkesh Podcast
How Hitler almost starved Britain โ€“ Sarah Paine

And also, when Germany took over continental Europe,

Dwarkesh Podcast
How Hitler almost starved Britain โ€“ Sarah Paine

It's taking the big petroleum deficit zone because Europe doesn't produce petroleum.

Dwarkesh Podcast
How Hitler almost starved Britain โ€“ Sarah Paine

The North Sea oil, those things hadn't been discovered in those days.

Dwarkesh Podcast
How Hitler almost starved Britain โ€“ Sarah Paine

Yes, Romania has oil.

Dwarkesh Podcast
How Hitler almost starved Britain โ€“ Sarah Paine

Yes, Hitler takes Romania.

Dwarkesh Podcast
How Hitler almost starved Britain โ€“ Sarah Paine

But Romanian pipelines ran to pre-war customers.

Dwarkesh Podcast
How Hitler almost starved Britain โ€“ Sarah Paine

And it's very difficult to find the manpower and the steel to reroute all of your pipelines in wartime.

Dwarkesh Podcast
How Hitler almost starved Britain โ€“ Sarah Paine

So that's a whole other part of Hitler's problems.

Dwarkesh Podcast
How Hitler almost starved Britain โ€“ Sarah Paine

So as we're putting together these complementary capabilities, the Russians have a huge army.

Dwarkesh Podcast
How Hitler almost starved Britain โ€“ Sarah Paine

Most of the fighting takes place between Russia and Germany.

Dwarkesh Podcast
How Hitler almost starved Britain โ€“ Sarah Paine

The Russians wreck the German army.

Dwarkesh Podcast
How Hitler almost starved Britain โ€“ Sarah Paine

You know, millions of Russians and Germans are dying here.

Dwarkesh Podcast
How Hitler almost starved Britain โ€“ Sarah Paine

But if you look at Operation Barbarossa, which is Germany's initial invasion of the Soviet Union, they suffer a nearly 30% casualty rate.

Dwarkesh Podcast
How Hitler almost starved Britain โ€“ Sarah Paine

That's called catastrophic success.

Dwarkesh Podcast
How Hitler almost starved Britain โ€“ Sarah Paine

You have too many successes like that, it'll be catastrophic.

Dwarkesh Podcast
How Hitler almost starved Britain โ€“ Sarah Paine

And here's the mathematics of the main front.

Dwarkesh Podcast
How Hitler almost starved Britain โ€“ Sarah Paine

Only two countries have really big armies, Germany and Russia.