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Sarah Paine

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
8864 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 3: How Mao Conquered China

There are six possible prerequisites, two, you gotta have at least two,

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 3: How Mao Conquered China

before you fight.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 3: How Mao Conquered China

And the most important one is that people have to actively support you.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 3: How Mao Conquered China

You probably need a base area to pull this off.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 3: How Mao Conquered China

He said that the last three things about enemy weak points, enemy exhaustion, enemy mistakes, those things could appear quite rapidly, but you better choose your terrain very carefully.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 3: How Mao Conquered China

Terrain is immutable.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 3: How Mao Conquered China

He also said that if you're weak, the way the communists were, you had to follow a strategy of annihilation.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 3: How Mao Conquered China

What you do is you annihilate one small enemy unit at a time, and the cumulative effects will eventually change the balance of power.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 3: How Mao Conquered China

Only someone who is really strong can tough out an attrition strategy.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 3: How Mao Conquered China

He's also about triangle building in these areas.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 3: How Mao Conquered China

So little gorilla detachments go out into the interface if it works out well, and it looks like they can start either a new base area or expand an existing one.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 3: How Mao Conquered China

That's what they're going to be up to.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 3: How Mao Conquered China

So these guerrilla forces are either a disposal force, which you could send them out to do risky things, and if they get wiped out, it doesn't endanger base area defense, or they can become a nucleus of a new base area.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 3: How Mao Conquered China

So in small guerrilla groups, party members are toughened, cadres trained, the party government, mass organizations are consolidated.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 3: How Mao Conquered China

And if they're successful, then you bring in the Red Army.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 3: How Mao Conquered China

to do higher level institution building and either greatly expand an existing base area or you're forming a new one is what's going on.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 3: How Mao Conquered China

Mao had two military services.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 3: How Mao Conquered China

We always think of Army, Navy, Air Force.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 3: How Mao Conquered China

That's not what it was for him.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 3: How Mao Conquered China

It was guerrilla forces versus conventional forces.