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Sarah Paine

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
8864 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 3: How Mao Conquered China

It's a peninsula, which the US Navy cut off.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 3: How Mao Conquered China

It's also cold.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 3: How Mao Conquered China

So where are you going to flee if you want to do a base area?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 3: How Mao Conquered China

I think it's up a mountain in South Korea, and that will get cold in the winter, and you'll probably freeze to death.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 3: How Mao Conquered China

I believe Al-Qaeda means the base.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 3: How Mao Conquered China

I believe that's the correct translation.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 3: How Mao Conquered China

So if you're thinking about ISIS or whatever, or whatever's left of it, you can go back to Mao's ideas about base areas, that you need a particular kind of geography that's good for the defensive, got to have a big party organization, a lot of local support, you got to have military forces there.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 3: How Mao Conquered China

Does al-Qaeda, well, it'd be ISIS or something, do they have all four of these things, or can you remove any one of them?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 3: How Mao Conquered China

All right, another idea from Mao is luring the enemy in deep.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 3: How Mao Conquered China

And Mao had done that very successfully in the first three encirclement campaigns, and then he was removed from command, so he wasn't doing that anymore.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 3: How Mao Conquered China

And again,

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 3: How Mao Conquered China

In the final phases of the Chinese Civil War, the 45 to 49 event, Mao lures the nationalists deep into Manchuria.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 3: How Mao Conquered China

And the nationalists are a South China phenomenon, right?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 3: How Mao Conquered China

I showed you the map.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 3: How Mao Conquered China

Chiang Kai-shek starts in the south and he goes way up north.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 3: How Mao Conquered China

So he's weakest in the north.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 3: How Mao Conquered China

But Mao lures him way up there in Manchuria.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 3: How Mao Conquered China

And then he springs a trap and destroys Chiang Kai-shek's armies up there.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 3: How Mao Conquered China

And then the entire Civil War rapidifies.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 3: How Mao Conquered China

wraps up within a year of that.