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Sarah Paine

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
8864 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

The Western focus of literature is all about preparing the field of battle in advance for success, and whereas this literature is focusing on what to do after disaster.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

Here are some more implications.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

Once the Japanese are failing in battle, operational failure, they are on death ground.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

What does that mean?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

It means that

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

Death ground means the only way you survive is if you fight harder.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

This is what's going on in Ukraine right now, is that when you decide you're going to annihilate an entire culture, you put people on death ground, and then they have very few choices on what they do next.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

That one is...

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

means for the Japanese to feel that they're on death ground when they're failing means they're not going to give up.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

They're going to fight brutally against overwhelming odds.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

So in the West, when we like to mirror image, we want to think of the rational actor with some kind of

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

mathematically based cost benefit of when you should give up, when the costs are so high above whatever your value of the object is, you ought to call it quits.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

Well, that kind of calculation does not translate well across the divides between civilizations.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

I've got a nice picture here of Lieutenant Onoda,

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

who had been hanging out in Philippine jungles for what, 30 years after the end of the war, carrying on the war in isolation?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

I don't believe this is how most other armies work or soldiers in them.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

Different culture, different things you do with your life.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

And here is Sir William Slim,

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

Field Marshal, British 14th Army that he led in Burma commenting on his experiences.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

If 500 Japanese were ordered to hold a position, we had to kill 495, last five committed suicide before we could take the place.