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Sarah Paine

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
8864 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

Well, his disdain for the target would cost him.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

And he noted later on, when he's trying to account for why the Battle of Guadalcanal is going so badly for Japan, he said, the aim of supply and transport to the front has not even been half fulfilled each time.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

It led those on the

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

Army, to be extremely skeptical about the Navy and thinking that the Navy is just sacrificing the Army.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

Well, no kidding, that's what the Army thought.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

Because for an expeditionary force, you absolutely need the Navy to deliver you there, to maintain your supplies there.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

And they're thinking, the Army's thinking, you Navy are being irresponsible, not doing any of these things.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

So there are tremendous inter-service rivalries between the Army and Navy in Japan.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

And it goes back to the pre-war budget wars where Japan's a resourced poor country and both services have what they consider absolutely essential things to be funded.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

Japan didn't have the money to fund both.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

And then when you get in war and you start expending these things, you need even more money.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

And so the disagreements were brutal.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

But before I get there, the in-group, out-group differences that stovepipe things and cause problems aren't simply between Army and Navy.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

They're within each service.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

So I'm going to start there.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

And to be fair, I'm going to provide one example for each service.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

I'll start with the Army.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

It was the Guangdong army or Japan's army in Manchuria that decided to invade all of Manchuria back in 31.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

It was not the home office back in Tokyo, but it's this branch that turns out kicks off a 15-year war.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

So these folks think that they know what's best for Japan and how best to defend the empire, and they're just off and running.