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Sarah Paine

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
8864 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

And from that moment on, his samurai obeyed him, and they absolutely cooperated with the occupation.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

There's no insurgency, no nothing going on after this.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

And at the end of the war, the United States

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

came to understand the Japanese.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

At the beginning, totally misread the situation with the oil embargo that's meant to deter and state that it precipitates the war that we didn't want.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

But at the end of the war, the United States realizes

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

You're going to need some level of Japanese cooperation if you're going to occupy the place.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

And they're going to use Emperor Hirohito for this.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

Hirohito is scared to death that it's not so much that he'll be hanged, but that the United States will extinguish his dynasty, kill him and his son, and then it's over.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

And so he's willing to sign any piece of paper that MacArthur puts under his pen.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

And one of those is the Constitution of Japan that is going to change their civil and military institutions, demilitarize the place and try to get a democracy going there.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

The Constitution was written in one week by MacArthur's staff.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

They're running around raiding bombed-out libraries for examples of Western constitutions, and they cobble this thing together.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

This is the unamended constitution of Japan still in power in effect to this very day, MacArthur's gift to Japan.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

All right, I've been incredibly critical of the Japanese, but to sum up here, their cultural explanations for their neglect of grand strategy, inability to cut their losses, inability to coordinate, and the ferocity with which they fought.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

So if you look at their values,

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

And they're explanatory of what may well happen when things get set off.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

But I've been really critical of Japan.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

I want to even out the story by ending on the United States a little bit.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine Episode 2: Why Japan Lost (Lecture & Interview)

Because the United States played a good game or bad game of half-court tennis and mirror-imaged at the beginning of this war.