Sarah Shannon

Well, you can tell that all the European leaders are slightly don't really believe it until they see it, because they keep saying it's very important.

We must have toll free access to the Strait of Hormuz.

And that's one of the things that Trump has announced will definitely be happening.

So the fact that they keep going, no, we really what a great deal would include would definitely be this.

Israel went and said, well, it's not our ceasefire.

It can't make us.

And once its campaign in Lebanon excluded from it anyway.

The thing I think that's very worrying about it long term is essentially what Iran has learned from this is that Donald Trump doesn't have the stones to actually put boots on the ground.

So he went in saying we want regime change.

He hasn't got that.

He said we don't want any nuclear weapons.

Well, that was the whole point of the 2015 deal.

And actually, he now doesn't have an inspection regime as part of this necessarily.

And he's also taught Iran that they have the most amazing bargaining chip in the world to use against America, which is closing the Strait of Hormuz.

So what happens if in September, as the midterms are coming up, they just suddenly close it again and gas prices in America jump by a dollar, you know.

And then at that point, Trump is desperate, desperate for them to do it.

they will have the most incredible negotiating tactic.

So I can't see this, you know, if they had managed to institute peaceful democracy and stop Iran getting any nuclear weapons, then that would have been good outcome.

What they essentially, to my mind, have done is just wholesale advertise their lack of commitment to a full scale war.

Yeah, but it's interesting that people have finally, finally learned when he came out.