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Scott Galloway

πŸ‘€ Speaker
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91481 total appearances
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Podcast Appearances

Prof G Markets
SpaceX IPO Takes Off β€” And Elon Is Now A Trillionaire

If it's at $2 trillion and there's $50 trillion of market cap in the NASDAQ 100, that means all the indices that track the NASDAQ 100 now have to put 4% of their assets under management into SpaceX stock, creating anywhere between $20 and call it $50 billion in additional demand that no IPO benefits from.

Prof G Markets
SpaceX IPO Takes Off β€” And Elon Is Now A Trillionaire

In addition, traditional IPO rules are that you have to issue at least 10%

Prof G Markets
SpaceX IPO Takes Off β€” And Elon Is Now A Trillionaire

of your shares.

Prof G Markets
SpaceX IPO Takes Off β€” And Elon Is Now A Trillionaire

They didn't, they issued 5%.

Prof G Markets
SpaceX IPO Takes Off β€” And Elon Is Now A Trillionaire

So massive artificial demand or demand that no one else has benefited from, from constrained supply that no one else has been able to manufacture.

Prof G Markets
SpaceX IPO Takes Off β€” And Elon Is Now A Trillionaire

And what you have is a pop, a 20% or 25% pop

Prof G Markets
SpaceX IPO Takes Off β€” And Elon Is Now A Trillionaire

on what I think is manufactured scarcity.

Prof G Markets
SpaceX IPO Takes Off β€” And Elon Is Now A Trillionaire

Now, the question is, where do you go from here?

Prof G Markets
SpaceX IPO Takes Off β€” And Elon Is Now A Trillionaire

And I would argue, someone called me and said, I have access to shares, should I do it?

Prof G Markets
SpaceX IPO Takes Off β€” And Elon Is Now A Trillionaire

I said, I think you should, but I would look at this as a trade, not as an investment, because eventually that manufactured scarcity begins to leak.

Prof G Markets
SpaceX IPO Takes Off β€” And Elon Is Now A Trillionaire

Lockups come off.

Prof G Markets
SpaceX IPO Takes Off β€” And Elon Is Now A Trillionaire

after a couple earnings calls, there will be some settling around where the stock reasonably should be.

Prof G Markets
SpaceX IPO Takes Off β€” And Elon Is Now A Trillionaire

But I think what we saw today was going to go down in the history books for bankers, the NASDAQ backing down, Elon Musk's power in the marketplace, creating a level of manufactured scarcity, the likes of which we have never seen before.

Prof G Markets
SpaceX IPO Takes Off β€” And Elon Is Now A Trillionaire

And just the last thing, this

Prof G Markets
SpaceX IPO Takes Off β€” And Elon Is Now A Trillionaire

This person told me who works at one of the lead underwriters is they did no less than 500 calls with high net worth investors, taking them through the deal and why it was a good idea.

Prof G Markets
SpaceX IPO Takes Off β€” And Elon Is Now A Trillionaire

So you have had some of the most talent people in finance basically crawling over anyone with a heartbeat or a pulse, high net worth, retail, et cetera, to try and create unbelievable demand.

Prof G Markets
SpaceX IPO Takes Off β€” And Elon Is Now A Trillionaire

So the bankers have done their job here.

Prof G Markets
SpaceX IPO Takes Off β€” And Elon Is Now A Trillionaire

I think they're gonna get about a half a billion dollars

Prof G Markets
SpaceX IPO Takes Off β€” And Elon Is Now A Trillionaire

in fees.

Prof G Markets
SpaceX IPO Takes Off β€” And Elon Is Now A Trillionaire

I thought it was a billion, but someone correct me and said it's half a billion.