Scott Galloway

Cal Street Traders had Tallarico at 86% likelihood to win the Democratic primary.

Polls showed the race considerably tighter.

And then the Texas Senate winner, Cal Street is also stating that the Republicans have a 65% likelihood of holding the seat versus 35%.

percent for Democrats.

So it's two to one right now.

But that's down from four to one, 80 percent Republican odds in late 2025.

So Tallarico is giving, it appears, the markets are more hopeful about a Tallarico nominee.

Texas is sort of known for producing

a Democrat that we all fall in love with and then get our hearts broken.

And every time, you know, Democrats around the nation give money to a Texas candidate like Beto O'Rourke, who was a very attractive candidate, especially against a guy named Ted Cruz, who was, you know, I would argue is an unattractive candidate for most people.

And then we get our hearts broken.

The Texas is just pretty, pretty deep red.

But here we are again, hopeful that this outstanding candidate will change that.

So if Tallarica does in fact win in November, it would be a major shift.

Texas Democrats have not won statewide office in, let me see, I think it was 88, so 12 years.

So, oh gosh, almost 40 years.

He'll face the winner of the Paxton versus Cornyn Republican runoff on May 26th.

Right now, Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton appears to be the favorite in the runoff, which would be great for Tallarica, because Paxton, what's the term, is fucking crazy.

And I mean, that's kind of the problem with our electoral system is we send crazies from the left and crazies from the right.

Tallarico is seen as pretty moderate, mostly because he constantly cites scripture and his religious background and weaves it really elegantly into his politics.