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Scott Horton

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
2527 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 โ€“ Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East

Can you go into the analysis of best case and worst case?

Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 โ€“ Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East

Yeah, that we quit now.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 โ€“ Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East

Yeah, I mean, respect their right to a civilian nuclear program and try to negotiate, as I said, back into something like the JCPOA, which again had them exporting their entire stockpile of uranium out of the country.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 โ€“ Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East

He wants no nuclear program whatsoever.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 โ€“ Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East

Was her entire dependence on other countries to supply their fuel.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 โ€“ Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East

Can you teach me the difference?

Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 โ€“ Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East

The Ayatollah is never going to give in on enrichment.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 โ€“ Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East

We know that as a premise for our whole discussion here.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 โ€“ Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East

Therefore, what he's saying is we're going to have to keep escalating the war until the mission is accomplished.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 โ€“ Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East

Do you think that Bill Clinton should have just let the Chinese sell him the light water reactor that they wanted to back in the 90s?

Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 โ€“ Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East

No, no, I'm supposed to just...

Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 โ€“ Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East

You were opposed to withdrawing from it.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 โ€“ Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East

Don't you think that Trump could have gone over there and negotiated to make it better?

Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 โ€“ Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East

And would you agree that it was a huge mistake to withdraw that because they were, as we agreed, shipping out all of their enriched uranium to only be brought back in a form that they could not use to make nukes?

Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 โ€“ Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East

The scientists had decided that if they kicked all the inspectors out and beat their chest and started making a nuke, it would take them a full year to have enough weapons grade uranium for a single gun type nuke under the JCPOA.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 โ€“ Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East

Right.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 โ€“ Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East

But what I'm asking you is, say you were the national security advisor,

Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 โ€“ Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East

Under the JCPOA, where they are still shipping all their enriched uranium out of the country and all that, which you would be advising him to not leave, in the negotiations to improve the deal, would you have been willing to accept some level of enrichment then, as long as we have the restriction part where they're shipping it all out of the country?

Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 โ€“ Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East

Or to you, enrichment at all is always a red line, essentially equivalent to them being 99% of the way to a nuclear weapon?

Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 โ€“ Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East

And it mandates that non-nuclear weapons states have a safeguards agreement with the IAEA and full of additional protocols and whatever.