Scott MacFarlane

Short-term risk and long-term risk here, Don.

The short-term risk is minimal.

The Supreme Court is giving no indication they're going to rule in his favor based on the arguments today.

And every even-minded, even-keeled analysis of this case is that it's a loser for the Trump administration.

Let's put that aside for a moment.

And the executive order on mail-in voting, I had one election security expert tell me, it's hilariously stupid that if you and I were to jot down notes on a cocktail napkin with a crayon, we'd have just as much ability to change how states do their mail-in voting.

And that Trump might as well try to outlaw gravity through an executive order.

It's just not going to work.

So the short-term prospects look terrible for him on both of those fronts.

Long-term though, Don, I think there's a real risk.

I think these are seeds he's planting for post-election challenges.

Doesn't like the results of the midterm elections.

He will unilaterally or through his executive powers try to find some way to force an overturning of the results using these types of things.

as his argument that there should have been better patrolling protections against mail-in voting fraud and that the birthright citizenship planted millions of fraudulent votes around the country.

Totally baseless, but could be mechanized post-November.

That executive order seems toothless and worthless, but all the things you just described are genuine threats.

First of all, you got to keep in mind when it comes to control of the U.S.

house, Don, a lot of that goes through red states.

They've got to make inroads in places like Iowa.

They have to make inroads to a degree or protect things even in the redistricted Texas, try to protect or steal a seat in Florida.