Sean Defoe

And Janice Boylan, you'd say possibly needs to have a bit of clear water between her and Daniel Ennis to hope to get home?

Cian, I'm sure you will say Daniel Ellis also ran a similarly fantastic campaign and is in a good shout this morning.

He's been very involved in the community in sport, has been very involved in, you know, building a positive message in the community, both as the previous work he's done, but also as a candidate, he ran a very, very positive campaign.

I think part of the difficulty, Liam, with gauging where Sinn Féin is going to be on transfers is that when you look at the general election, so many were elected near the top, first, second, third counts.

And the general perception would be that Janice would be less transfer friendly than the Social Democrats.

Is that something you think is fair?

How much pressure is on Mary Lou if she doesn't win?

It is in her own backyard, though.

And Janice wasn't the candidate that she wanted initially.

She wanted Gillian Sherratt to come through the selection convention and didn't.

That does speak to a sort of an undercut of authority in your own backyard now.

Craig, as simple as a two-horse race, there was obviously quite a high margin of error in that poll as well, of 4%, which could be a swing here.

But do you think it is a straight lefty shootout?

I do think it's a straight shootout between the two candidates.

And the results could really be seismic from the Sinn Féin perspective, because if they can't get Janice Boylan elected here over a Social Democrats candidate...

well, then they'll have kind of lost that kind of liberal vote that they courted for so long.

I think that it'll have been eaten away at significantly.

And then I think this whole transfer left business will be off the table because they'll really need to sharpen their elbows to get ahead of that again, because they can't continue to lose that vote that they built up in 2020, which was eroded in 2024, which saw the rise of Social Democrats and Labour.

So I think this vote left business will be completely off the cards after this.

But yeah, it's such a difficult call.