Sholto Douglas

And one answer that I like to give is that you should think about the next couple of years as increasing your individual leverage by like a huge factor every year.

So already software engineers will come up and say, you know, I'm two times faster or in new languages I'm five times faster than I was last year.

I expect that trend line to continue basically as you sort of go from this model of I'm working with some model that's assisting me on my computer and it's like basically a pairing session.

to I'm managing a small team through to I'm managing like a division or a company basically that is like targeting a task.

And so I think that deep technical knowledge in fields will still matter in four years.

Like it absolutely will because you will be in the position of managing dozens or like your individual management bandwidth will be maxed out by trying to manage like teams of AIs.

And this kind of thing.

And maybe AIs, you know, maybe we end up like a truly like singularity world where you have AIs managing AIs and this kind of stuff.

But I think in a very wide part of the like possibility spectrum, you are managing enormous, like vastly more resources than an individual could command today.

And you should be able to solve so many more things with that.

Well, maybe the piece of career advice I'm not skeptical of is put yourself close to the frontier because you have a much better vantage point.

That's right.

You can study deep technical things, whether it's computer science or biology, and get to the point where you can see what the issues are.

Because it's actually remarkably obvious at the frontier what the problems are, and it's very difficult to see.

It's still what we look for in hiring.

That's right.

Next one.

What is your strategy, method, or criteria for choosing guests?

What was the specific moment, if there was one, that you realized that producing your podcast was a viable long-term strategy?

Blogging is definitely underrated.