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Simon Belanger

πŸ‘€ Speaker
6700 total appearances
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Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

the longer you span it out the higher the uncertainty gets so they are one of the biggest cash burning companies on the planet right now they might be the biggest cash burning company so over the last 12 months they have negative free cash flow of around 24 billion and the guidance next year doesn't make the situation any better they expect 2027 free cash flow to be 40 billion in the hole

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

And they are issuing $20 billion in equity.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

And they already added over $40 billion in debt to the balance sheet last year.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

Capital expenditures will come in at $70 billion in 2027.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

They were just shy of $50 billion, I think, last year.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

Margins have pretty consistently declined.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

And what I would imagine from this is it's just a shift from the company.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

So this is a company that now has to add more.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

you know, depreciation heavy data centers, whatever it may be to the mix, which will probably hit margins because, you know, Oracle used to be, they were like a data management software company, I believe.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

Anyway, I'm not exactly sure what they did, but they.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

Yeah.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

So you're looking at a high margin software company transitioning to this big asset heavy business like this.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

So margins are going to take a hit.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

Will they recover down the line?

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

It's probably difficult to say, probably never to the scale they were before.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

But revenue guidance is for 34% growth, earnings 18%.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

I believe this was next year.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

And they do mention...

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

that through 2030, they should be able to see 31% compound annual growth rates on revenue and 28% on earnings.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

So really, growth is not the question.