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Simon Belanger

πŸ‘€ Speaker
7632 total appearances
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Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

They used to grow 20% annually.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

Yeah.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

So...

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

I think you're not only getting... You're just getting a revaluation.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

The multiple is coming down, which has happened across all software companies.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

But this is also a software company that is just not growing as fast as it was.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

It's putting in a lot of efforts, and I'll talk about it in a bit, with the freemium model, things like that, to kind of shape up for the future to get that growth back again.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

But it's just not growing as fast as it was.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

So...

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

If you exclude the SEMrush acquisition, which is like a SEO-based company, I used to use it quite a bit.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

If you look at this chart right here, you can see a clear deceleration of growth, which is obviously going to come with a smaller multiple.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

But on that ARR front with the SEMrush acquisition-

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

That's kind of an SEO-based platform where they help websites kind of increase their Google reach, probably their chat GPT, all that geo type stuff.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

ARR shrinks to around 10% if you exclude that acquisition, which you realistically should.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

So bear case right now is slowing growth.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

So acquisition impacts really shouldn't be factored in until they're fully integrated.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

AI first ARR looks to be just over 500 million is tripling on a year over year basis.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

So there's definitely a ton of momentum there.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

But when you look to the company's total ARR, like it's kind of a drop in the bucket.

The Canadian Investor
SpaceX IPO Mania, M&A Heats Up, Dollarama Rises While Dynamite and Adobe Drop

Will it continue if it continues to grow at this pace?