Simon Hunter
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Appearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
That is the most of any team in the NFL.
So those are some positives.
In addition,
They play some of their most critical opponents with rest advantage.
We'll talk, I don't know, potentially about the bye weeks being a little bit less impactful from a rest perspective, given CBA in 2011, the mandatory four days off.
Used to be you could bet teams off of bye weeks from around like 2000 to like 2010 and hit 56% ATS, just betting on teams that are coming off of byes.
now you're actually down in the 48 49 range by doing that because of the mandatory four days off but the bears have three games where they're playing off of mini buys and many buys are more impactful in a positive manner than our full buys and they're playing the seahawks
with three days of extra rest off a mini-bye, and they're playing the Lions with three days of rest off a mini-bye.
Two teams that they're going to be competing against in the NFC.
In addition, a tough game against the Jaguars after playing on Thanksgiving.
They have a mini-bye heading into that game.
Last year, they had just one game where they played with a three-day rest advantage or more.
This year, they've got four of those such games.
I'll just throw out a statistic here as it relates to the Bears from an ATS perspective that you might find intriguing, Chad.
This is a team that if they have played since 2020 with a rest deficit of at least three days, which is what we're talking about, that's the more impactful one.
They are 0-9 straight up, 1-8 ATS.
That's a minus 79% ROI.
But if they over that same span were playing without having a rest disadvantage, they were 55% ATS, which is a plus 4% ROI, which was the fourth best in the NFL.
And their ROI was the worst in the NFL when they played with a rest disadvantage.
So, um,