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Simon Willison

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
494 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

And that's pretty, that's very meaningful that that's the case. Likewise, the ones that run on my laptop, Two years ago, I was running the first Lama model, and it was not quite as good as GPT-3.5. It just about worked. Same hardware today. I've not upgraded the memory or anything. It's now running a GPT-4 class model.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

And that's pretty, that's very meaningful that that's the case. Likewise, the ones that run on my laptop, Two years ago, I was running the first Lama model, and it was not quite as good as GPT-3.5. It just about worked. Same hardware today. I've not upgraded the memory or anything. It's now running a GPT-4 class model.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

There was so much low-hanging fruit for optimization for these things, and I think there's probably still quite a lot left. But it's pretty extraordinary. Oh, here's my favorite number for this. Google Gemini Flash 8B, which is Google's cheapest of the Gemini models. And it's still a vision audio model. You can pipe audio and images into it and get responses.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

There was so much low-hanging fruit for optimization for these things, and I think there's probably still quite a lot left. But it's pretty extraordinary. Oh, here's my favorite number for this. Google Gemini Flash 8B, which is Google's cheapest of the Gemini models. And it's still a vision audio model. You can pipe audio and images into it and get responses.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

If I was to run that against 68,000 photographs in my personal photo collection to generate captions, it would cost me less than $2 to do 68,000 photos. Which is completely nonsensical.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

If I was to run that against 68,000 photographs in my personal photo collection to generate captions, it would cost me less than $2 to do 68,000 photos. Which is completely nonsensical.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

Like you, I'm not nearly brave enough to shorten NVIDIA, but at the same time, I don't understand how being able to do matrix multiplication at scale is a moat. You know, I just don't. You're hardware people, I'm not. So maybe I'm missing something. But it feels like all of this stuff comes down to who can multiply matrices the faster. Are NVIDIA really, like, so far ahead of everybody else?

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

Like you, I'm not nearly brave enough to shorten NVIDIA, but at the same time, I don't understand how being able to do matrix multiplication at scale is a moat. You know, I just don't. You're hardware people, I'm not. So maybe I'm missing something. But it feels like all of this stuff comes down to who can multiply matrices the faster. Are NVIDIA really, like, so far ahead of everybody else?

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

You've got Cerebras and Grok have been doing incredible things recently. Apple's, like, Apple Silicon can run matrix multiplications incredibly quick. Where is NVIDIA's moat here, other than CUDA being really difficult to get away from?

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

You've got Cerebras and Grok have been doing incredible things recently. Apple's, like, Apple Silicon can run matrix multiplications incredibly quick. Where is NVIDIA's moat here, other than CUDA being really difficult to get away from?

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

So I've got a self-serving three-year prediction. I think somebody is going to perform a piece of Pulitzer Prize-winning investigative journalism using AI and LLMs as part of the tooling that they used for that report. And I partly wanted to raise this one, partly because my day job that I have assigned myself is building software to help journalists do this kind of work.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

So I've got a self-serving three-year prediction. I think somebody is going to perform a piece of Pulitzer Prize-winning investigative journalism using AI and LLMs as part of the tooling that they used for that report. And I partly wanted to raise this one, partly because my day job that I have assigned myself is building software to help journalists do this kind of work.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

But more importantly, I think it's illustrative of the larger concept that I think AI assistance in that kind of information work will almost be expected. Like, I think it won't be surprising when you hear that somebody achieved a great piece of like, in this case, it's sort of combining research with journalism and so forth.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

But more importantly, I think it's illustrative of the larger concept that I think AI assistance in that kind of information work will almost be expected. Like, I think it won't be surprising when you hear that somebody achieved a great piece of like, in this case, it's sort of combining research with journalism and so forth.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

Pieces of work done like that where an LLM was part of the mix feels like it's not even going to be surprising anymore.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

Pieces of work done like that where an LLM was part of the mix feels like it's not even going to be surprising anymore.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

And more specifically, the angle here is like this is actually possible today. Like if you think about what investigative journalism, any kind of deep research often involves going through tens of thousands of sources of information and trying to make sense of those. And that's a lot of work, right? That's a lot of trudging through documents.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

And more specifically, the angle here is like this is actually possible today. Like if you think about what investigative journalism, any kind of deep research often involves going through tens of thousands of sources of information and trying to make sense of those. And that's a lot of work, right? That's a lot of trudging through documents.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

If you can use an LLM to review every page of 10,000 pages of police abuse reports. to pull out vital details. It doesn't give you the story, but it gives you the leads. It gives you the leads to know, okay, which of these 10,000 reports should I go and spend my boot investigating?

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2025

If you can use an LLM to review every page of 10,000 pages of police abuse reports. to pull out vital details. It doesn't give you the story, but it gives you the leads. It gives you the leads to know, okay, which of these 10,000 reports should I go and spend my boot investigating?