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Simon Willison

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
494 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2026!!

The one thing that worries me is it's valuations, right?

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2026!!

The AI companies with the giant valuations, the only way you justify those valuations is if it represents the total addressable market is all human labor, right?

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2026!!

I've got one that's semi-related.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2026!!

We will find out if the Jevons paradox saves our careers or not.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2026!!

This is a big question that anyone who's a software engineer has right now is we are driving the cost of actually producing working code down to a fraction of what it used to cost.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2026!!

Does that mean that our careers are completely devalued and we all have to learn to live on a tenth of our incomes?

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2026!!

Or does it mean that the demand for software, for custom software, goes up by a factor of 10 and now our skills are even more valuable because you can hire me and I can build you 10 times the software I used to be able to, so I'm more valuable to you.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2026!!

And I think by three years, we will know for sure which way that one went.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2026!!

We'll be like, okay, this is how it played out.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2026!!

This ties back to something I talked about earlier, the sandboxing thing.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2026!!

Basically, if you want your SaaS to stay relevant, you need to embrace plugins and extensions where your customers can customize it in all sorts of interesting new ways.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2026!!

The way to do that is with a sandbox where they can write code that can safely interoperate within your platform and not delete everything, but all of that kind of stuff.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2026!!

This is the kind of thing which used to be really difficult to build.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2026!!

Shopify built this a few years ago, the Shopify functions, but very few other companies have done it.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2026!!

I think a lot of companies are going to start doing exactly that.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2026!!

The most successful implementation of this pattern of all time is Salesforce, right?

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2026!!

Salesforce, incredibly customizable.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2026!!

Dreamforce in San Francisco has 50,000 people attending and they're all professional Salesforce customizers.

Oxide and Friends
Predictions 2026!!

So that pattern absolutely works.