Simone Stolzoff

The problem is it's easy until it's not.

Yeah, sure.

It reveals that we want to go back to what we were saying before, be able to predict the

So we kind of have it backwards.

We think that just having confidence and saying that you're certain about exactly what the future is going to look like will breed more credibility.

But the research shows that you actually need a level of intellectual humility.

The best leaders are not the know-it-alls.

They're the people who understand what they know, they understand what they don't know, and are able to communicate both.

So there was this great study about scientists whose previous experiments turned out not to replicate, not to be true.

And the ones who were willing to own up to their mistakes, admit that they had made mistakes in the past and update their worldview were perceived as far more credible and confident than the ones who just said, no, I stick to my guns.

I'm going to dig my heels in.

And so I think that's what our society needs a little bit more of.

It needs a little bit more humility as opposed to the hubris of people saying that they know exactly what the world is going to look like.

Totally.

Or that my last eight weeks of predictions of who's going to win the NFL game were wrong, but you should listen to me this week.

Totally.

Or like so many of the mid 20th century experiments were just run on like white male college students.

Yes.

And of course, like all of your models for what an optimal seatbelt looks like or what have you is going to be outdated or wrong when you think about extrapolating that to the entirety of the diverse population.

I think most people are like this or many people anyway.