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Simone Stolzoff

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
1847 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Jordan Harbinger Show
1326: Simone Stolzoff | How to Make the Most of Uncertainty

And as we get older, we get more refined, we get more calcified in our ways, and we can do more exploiting.

The Jordan Harbinger Show
1326: Simone Stolzoff | How to Make the Most of Uncertainty

But that being said, we all need both.

The Jordan Harbinger Show
1326: Simone Stolzoff | How to Make the Most of Uncertainty

And this is true in biological systems.

The Jordan Harbinger Show
1326: Simone Stolzoff | How to Make the Most of Uncertainty

So there's this great study about ants who are foraging food, and they need to do some exploiting if they find a food source, but they also need to do some exploring and peel off so that they're not overly dependent on that one food source.

The Jordan Harbinger Show
1326: Simone Stolzoff | How to Make the Most of Uncertainty

And I think it's a great analogy for life.

The Jordan Harbinger Show
1326: Simone Stolzoff | How to Make the Most of Uncertainty

Even though as you get older, you have more responsibilities, you might be doing more exploiting.

The Jordan Harbinger Show
1326: Simone Stolzoff | How to Make the Most of Uncertainty

You might know the order that you like from the restaurant or exactly how you want your days to go.

The Jordan Harbinger Show
1326: Simone Stolzoff | How to Make the Most of Uncertainty

If you get too fixed, if you're too attached to one particular vision of your life, it's like balancing on a really narrow platform and you're susceptible to being blown over.

The Jordan Harbinger Show
1326: Simone Stolzoff | How to Make the Most of Uncertainty

And the best part of Pandora was every so often you'd stumble upon an artist that you'd never heard of before that you fell in love with.

The Jordan Harbinger Show
1326: Simone Stolzoff | How to Make the Most of Uncertainty

It comes back to our desire for certainty and for an easy explanation how the world works.

The Jordan Harbinger Show
1326: Simone Stolzoff | How to Make the Most of Uncertainty

And so I'll give one example from Wall Street.

The Jordan Harbinger Show
1326: Simone Stolzoff | How to Make the Most of Uncertainty

So there's a study by this researcher named Katie Milkman, and she was looking at stock pickers who were wrong in the previous quarter.

The Jordan Harbinger Show
1326: Simone Stolzoff | How to Make the Most of Uncertainty

And it roughly broke down into two groups.

The Jordan Harbinger Show
1326: Simone Stolzoff | How to Make the Most of Uncertainty

There were people who were wrong that were part of the consensus.

The Jordan Harbinger Show
1326: Simone Stolzoff | How to Make the Most of Uncertainty

So lots of people were also wrong with them.

The Jordan Harbinger Show
1326: Simone Stolzoff | How to Make the Most of Uncertainty

And then there were people who were wrong who went out on a limb.

The Jordan Harbinger Show
1326: Simone Stolzoff | How to Make the Most of Uncertainty

And what she found was that in the next quarter, the people who went out on a limb were more likely to double down on their erroneous prediction than people that were part of the consensus.

The Jordan Harbinger Show
1326: Simone Stolzoff | How to Make the Most of Uncertainty

So imagine you're like a flat earther.

The Jordan Harbinger Show
1326: Simone Stolzoff | How to Make the Most of Uncertainty

A lot of your identity is probably tied to this opinion because it's countercultural.

The Jordan Harbinger Show
1326: Simone Stolzoff | How to Make the Most of Uncertainty

It's swimming upstream.