Simone Stolzoff

That is sort of my goal of the book, is to help readers get more tolerant, more comfortable with uncertainty, so that they can open their mind and choose to treat the future with a little bit more curiosity.

Totally.

Yeah, we should be open to updating our worldview based on new information that we receive.

For example, there's this professor named Phil Tetlock, and he was a professor of mine in college.

He collated data from a decade's worth of predictions from the smartest people in the world.

So these are like economists, politicians, journalists, experts in different fields.

And then he took those predictions and measured them against what actually happened in the future.

And his big canonical finding was that the average expert was roughly as accurate as a dart-throwing chimpanzee.

And so...

As much as we want to know who's going to win the election or when the market is going to crash or how seductive some of those hot takes are on social media, the truth is we're not very good at predicting.

And the people who are the best predictors are the ones who update their worldview and update their forecasts as often as possible.

So we can take that into our own mind.

One sort of little mantra that I like saying to myself is, this is what I believe today based on what I know now.

And I like that sort of framing of ideas because inherent in the sort of construction is the idea that I might learn more later that might change what I believe in the future.

And if we could trade some of that hubris or that certainty for humility, I think we would live in a much more connected, open, and generous world.

Yeah, I see it on sort of two levels.

There's sort of the question about how do we personally interact with AI and how does that change the way that we see the world?

And then there's sort of like the macro question about how AI will impact jobs or careers moving forward.

So let's take each of them one at a time.

The first one is, I think the models are getting better at not hallucinating, which is to say that the information that they are presenting is