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Stacy Rasgon

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
105 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Prof G Markets
Hottest Inflation Report In 3 Years Has One Big Problem

And by the way, in and out of semis, you know, if AI demand ever does roll over, like, we're all screwed.

Prof G Markets
Hottest Inflation Report In 3 Years Has One Big Problem

Yeah.

Prof G Markets
Hottest Inflation Report In 3 Years Has One Big Problem

In semis and out of semis, it almost feels like even in the broader economy, it's the data center spending and AI spending that really is supporting everything right now.

Prof G Markets
Hottest Inflation Report In 3 Years Has One Big Problem

But what do you think?

Prof G Markets
Hottest Inflation Report In 3 Years Has One Big Problem

Well, I mean, it depends on how much compute you need.

Prof G Markets
Hottest Inflation Report In 3 Years Has One Big Problem

And so this gets now to the usage and the return on these assets.

Prof G Markets
Hottest Inflation Report In 3 Years Has One Big Problem

And again, it's still early days, right?

Prof G Markets
Hottest Inflation Report In 3 Years Has One Big Problem

And the amount of revenue that is getting generated from these assets is still probably relatively small.

Prof G Markets
Hottest Inflation Report In 3 Years Has One Big Problem

Most of the spending we've seen so far has been used.

Prof G Markets
Hottest Inflation Report In 3 Years Has One Big Problem

They built these massive compute clusters to train these models.

Prof G Markets
Hottest Inflation Report In 3 Years Has One Big Problem

I don't know how much your listeners know about AI models, but you can sort of think about...

Prof G Markets
Hottest Inflation Report In 3 Years Has One Big Problem

like a massive amount of data and parameters that have to be set to create a model that can perform a task.

Prof G Markets
Hottest Inflation Report In 3 Years Has One Big Problem

And so most of the compute spending so far has been to train these models.

Prof G Markets
Hottest Inflation Report In 3 Years Has One Big Problem

So what we need to see is these models actually get used more for something, right?

Prof G Markets
Hottest Inflation Report In 3 Years Has One Big Problem

This is actually called inference, right?

Prof G Markets
Hottest Inflation Report In 3 Years Has One Big Problem

And it's still early days, but we're already seeing evidence.

Prof G Markets
Hottest Inflation Report In 3 Years Has One Big Problem

You can take a company like an Anthropic, for example, who discloses their annualized run rate of revenue.

Prof G Markets
Hottest Inflation Report In 3 Years Has One Big Problem

And Anthropic makes something that's called CLOD that's used for agentic coding, for example.

Prof G Markets
Hottest Inflation Report In 3 Years Has One Big Problem

This is where you can actually use the AI model to help you code.

Prof G Markets
Hottest Inflation Report In 3 Years Has One Big Problem

And I mean, their revenue has gone vertical.