Stephen Koukoulas
speaker
2,355 appearances
24 recordings
2 series
first heard Apr 2026
last heard 20 Sep
Stephen Koukoulas’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
Trend
recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 24 in all, peaking in May 2026 with 6.
Appearances
It makes infraction less likely, but look at my grey hair.
I've been around for a long time.
I look at these economic data for too long that I can't remember.
Going back to my Treasury days, probably, heaven forbid, 40 years, my God.
More often than not, data surprises.
We've got a lot of smart people out in the financial markets analyzing these numbers.
They want to get it right so that their traders can sort of position themselves in the bond market, the currency markets, if they can actually forecast an outlier result in terms of the numbers.
So while we've got the two months as the base for this quarterly CPI, if you get a quirk on something as obscure as a pharmaceutical benefits change or
or council rates might have been adjusted, or an electricity provider did something with a rebate on something that we sort of don't know about, but the Bureau of Statistics knows about, then all of a sudden you get this number being released, and it could be higher or lower.
You know, the risk of surprise is both up and down, as I've learnt to my peril.
Yeah, we could get a surprise, but as things stand here, a figure for the trimmed mean, 3.75%.
Look,
I'd say this, if we get a figure that's very close to 4% for the trimmed mean in annual terms, which implies 1% for the quarter, it could well be game on for August and an August rate hike.
I think she chose the date very carefully because, of course, this is part of the Australian Business Economist's Annika Foundation speech, so it's for a fantastic cause.
I recommend you go to the Annika Foundation webpage.
It's something that utterly, utterly...
depressing with youth suicide.
So the financial markets have this fundraising.
The RBA governor speaks of it each year, so it's a fantastic event.
A great cause.
Showing 881–900 of 2,355 · page 45 of 118
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