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Steve Daghlian

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
1280 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

CommSec Market Update
Market Close 29 Apr 26: Inflation surges on high oil prices

So having said that, I mean, we did see headline inflation, you know, largely

CommSec Market Update
Market Close 29 Apr 26: Inflation surges on high oil prices

as what CVA was expecting, but a touch below consensus.

CommSec Market Update
Market Close 29 Apr 26: Inflation surges on high oil prices

And that's maybe a reason why we had that nice little boost, at least in the early stages, following the CPI data being handed down.

CommSec Market Update
Market Close 29 Apr 26: Inflation surges on high oil prices

But that didn't really last too long because trimmed mean or underlying inflation was largely as anticipated, 3.5% higher over the year, well above the 2% to 3% target range that the Reserve Bank's

CommSec Market Update
Market Close 29 Apr 26: Inflation surges on high oil prices

once.

CommSec Market Update
Market Close 29 Apr 26: Inflation surges on high oil prices

So I don't think it's really changed much as far as what is next for the Reserve Bank.

CommSec Market Update
Market Close 29 Apr 26: Inflation surges on high oil prices

So the RBA is meeting next Tuesday and Monday.

CommSec Market Update
Market Close 29 Apr 26: Inflation surges on high oil prices

And prior to the data, we had markets pricing in 80% chance roughly of an interest rate hike next week.

CommSec Market Update
Market Close 29 Apr 26: Inflation surges on high oil prices

Now the market reckons that's dropped back a bit to 70%.

CommSec Market Update
Market Close 29 Apr 26: Inflation surges on high oil prices

So at the end of the day, it still looks like the RBA is probably going to feel inclined to lift interest rates and not risk sitting on its hands for another month.

CommSec Market Update
Market Close 29 Apr 26: Inflation surges on high oil prices

Yeah, and for those who want a bit more insight into today's inflation numbers, you can head over to our socials.

CommSec Market Update
Market Close 29 Apr 26: Inflation surges on high oil prices

Our colleague and morning podcast host, James Gruber, recorded his thoughts on the data, what it means as well.

CommSec Market Update
Market Close 29 Apr 26: Inflation surges on high oil prices

And while you're there, you can check out our Market Moves content.

CommSec Market Update
Market Close 29 Apr 26: Inflation surges on high oil prices

It's something that we record weekly where we share insights into a different topic.

CommSec Market Update
Market Close 29 Apr 26: Inflation surges on high oil prices

So Instagram, YouTube and LinkedIn as well.

CommSec Market Update
Market Close 29 Apr 26: Inflation surges on high oil prices

Yes, and no progress being made there at all.

CommSec Market Update
Market Close 29 Apr 26: Inflation surges on high oil prices

As far as our sectors are concerned today, really, it's the utilities, a defensive area of our market, which is doing best, lifting about 2.2%.

CommSec Market Update
Market Close 29 Apr 26: Inflation surges on high oil prices

Energy stocks are up around 1.3%.

CommSec Market Update
Market Close 29 Apr 26: Inflation surges on high oil prices

Again, a lift in oil and gas prices have continued to provide a little bit of support there.

CommSec Market Update
Market Close 29 Apr 26: Inflation surges on high oil prices

In fact, since the conflict first began, the energy index here in Australia is up roughly 15%.