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Steve Eisman

👤 Speaker
158 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Prof G Markets
The $1.5B Insider Trade Before Trump’s Iran Post — ft. Anthony Scaramucci

That's part one.

Prof G Markets
The $1.5B Insider Trade Before Trump’s Iran Post — ft. Anthony Scaramucci

Part two is that we have not had a credit cycle in the United States since the great financial crisis.

Prof G Markets
The $1.5B Insider Trade Before Trump’s Iran Post — ft. Anthony Scaramucci

And that has bred a tremendous amount of complacency amongst lenders.

Prof G Markets
The $1.5B Insider Trade Before Trump’s Iran Post — ft. Anthony Scaramucci

And we are overdue for a credit cycle.

Prof G Markets
The $1.5B Insider Trade Before Trump’s Iran Post — ft. Anthony Scaramucci

And traditionally, if you know anything about lending history, whenever there is a credit cycle, the place that it takes place almost 100% of the time is the asset class that grew the most.

Prof G Markets
The $1.5B Insider Trade Before Trump’s Iran Post — ft. Anthony Scaramucci

So in the great financial crisis, the asset class that grew the most was subprime mortgages, and that blew up the most.

Prof G Markets
The $1.5B Insider Trade Before Trump’s Iran Post — ft. Anthony Scaramucci

Um, since the great financial crisis, the banks have not had much loan growth at all.

Prof G Markets
The $1.5B Insider Trade Before Trump’s Iran Post — ft. Anthony Scaramucci

Um, all the loan growth has really been in private credit.

Prof G Markets
The $1.5B Insider Trade Before Trump’s Iran Post — ft. Anthony Scaramucci

Private credit 10 years ago was a 300 billion per year market.

Prof G Markets
The $1.5B Insider Trade Before Trump’s Iran Post — ft. Anthony Scaramucci

And now it's close to a 2 trillion per year market.

Prof G Markets
The $1.5B Insider Trade Before Trump’s Iran Post — ft. Anthony Scaramucci

Wow.

Prof G Markets
The $1.5B Insider Trade Before Trump’s Iran Post — ft. Anthony Scaramucci

So you're starting to see cracks in credit.

Prof G Markets
The $1.5B Insider Trade Before Trump’s Iran Post — ft. Anthony Scaramucci

Um,

Prof G Markets
The $1.5B Insider Trade Before Trump’s Iran Post — ft. Anthony Scaramucci

You mentioned that this KKR fund got downgraded by Moody's.

Prof G Markets
The $1.5B Insider Trade Before Trump’s Iran Post — ft. Anthony Scaramucci

By the way, the rating agencies are always very slow.

Prof G Markets
The $1.5B Insider Trade Before Trump’s Iran Post — ft. Anthony Scaramucci

If the rating agencies are downgrading it, you know it's bad.

Prof G Markets
The $1.5B Insider Trade Before Trump’s Iran Post — ft. Anthony Scaramucci

That's a real problem.

Prof G Markets
The $1.5B Insider Trade Before Trump’s Iran Post — ft. Anthony Scaramucci

Now it's a problem.

Prof G Markets
The $1.5B Insider Trade Before Trump’s Iran Post — ft. Anthony Scaramucci

Because if even the rating agencies admit there's a problem, problem.

Prof G Markets
The $1.5B Insider Trade Before Trump’s Iran Post — ft. Anthony Scaramucci

Yes.