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Steve Keen

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
316 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The MOST Important Thing
How Prof. Steve Keen Predicted the 2008 Crash and What (he says) Economists Still Get Wrong

Now, there are times when you can get such a degree of money creation like we had during COVID that other factors apply.

The MOST Important Thing
How Prof. Steve Keen Predicted the 2008 Crash and What (he says) Economists Still Get Wrong

So the amount of money being created is so great that people who set prices think there's so much demand coming in, we can mark up our prices if we wish to.

The MOST Important Thing
How Prof. Steve Keen Predicted the 2008 Crash and What (he says) Economists Still Get Wrong

I mean, central banks will say, oh, interest rates...

The MOST Important Thing
How Prof. Steve Keen Predicted the 2008 Crash and What (he says) Economists Still Get Wrong

Central banks are stopped by neoclassical economists in part in the French.

The MOST Important Thing
How Prof. Steve Keen Predicted the 2008 Crash and What (he says) Economists Still Get Wrong

They haven't got a fucking clue how the financial system actually operates.

The MOST Important Thing
How Prof. Steve Keen Predicted the 2008 Crash and What (he says) Economists Still Get Wrong

So you have people who will make decisions about how to control the rate of inflation.

The MOST Important Thing
How Prof. Steve Keen Predicted the 2008 Crash and What (he says) Economists Still Get Wrong

And what they're doing, they're controlling the rate of inflation in a mental model they have.

The MOST Important Thing
How Prof. Steve Keen Predicted the 2008 Crash and What (he says) Economists Still Get Wrong

We call the dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model.

The MOST Important Thing
How Prof. Steve Keen Predicted the 2008 Crash and What (he says) Economists Still Get Wrong

And in that model, putting up the interest rate reduces consumption.

The MOST Important Thing
How Prof. Steve Keen Predicted the 2008 Crash and What (he says) Economists Still Get Wrong

because it inspires you to put aside money so that your future generations can go shopping.

The MOST Important Thing
How Prof. Steve Keen Predicted the 2008 Crash and What (he says) Economists Still Get Wrong

It changes the time horizon of the consumption of your entire dynasty, by the way.

The MOST Important Thing
How Prof. Steve Keen Predicted the 2008 Crash and What (he says) Economists Still Get Wrong

So when you go shopping at your local supermarket, you're considering the utility of your entire dynasty out to the year infinity.

The MOST Important Thing
How Prof. Steve Keen Predicted the 2008 Crash and What (he says) Economists Still Get Wrong

That's built into the neoclassical models in what they call the Euler equation that's supposed to represent consumption decisions.

The MOST Important Thing
How Prof. Steve Keen Predicted the 2008 Crash and What (he says) Economists Still Get Wrong

So they argue that consumption is volatile, where investment is stable.

The MOST Important Thing
How Prof. Steve Keen Predicted the 2008 Crash and What (he says) Economists Still Get Wrong

That's the exact empirical opposite of the real data.

The MOST Important Thing
How Prof. Steve Keen Predicted the 2008 Crash and What (he says) Economists Still Get Wrong

And they say that if you change the interest rate, you will change the trade-off between future and current utility that consumers have.

The MOST Important Thing
How Prof. Steve Keen Predicted the 2008 Crash and What (he says) Economists Still Get Wrong

So consumers, when the interest rate changes,

The MOST Important Thing
How Prof. Steve Keen Predicted the 2008 Crash and What (he says) Economists Still Get Wrong

changes will jump to a new location in terms of the balance between their savings, which leads to investment in their models, and their consumption.

The MOST Important Thing
How Prof. Steve Keen Predicted the 2008 Crash and What (he says) Economists Still Get Wrong

And that's how they explain fluctuations.

The MOST Important Thing
How Prof. Steve Keen Predicted the 2008 Crash and What (he says) Economists Still Get Wrong

And therefore, their interest rate works to control the rate of inflation in their mental models.