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Steve Keen

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
316 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The MOST Important Thing
How Prof. Steve Keen Predicted the 2008 Crash and What (he says) Economists Still Get Wrong

He said the mecca of the economist lies in evolutionary biology.

The MOST Important Thing
How Prof. Steve Keen Predicted the 2008 Crash and What (he says) Economists Still Get Wrong

So he said evolution is necessary.

The MOST Important Thing
How Prof. Steve Keen Predicted the 2008 Crash and What (he says) Economists Still Get Wrong

But we can't do that at the moment, so we use this construct of equilibrium.

The MOST Important Thing
How Prof. Steve Keen Predicted the 2008 Crash and What (he says) Economists Still Get Wrong

Jevons probably said it in a more articulate way.

The MOST Important Thing
How Prof. Steve Keen Predicted the 2008 Crash and What (he says) Economists Still Get Wrong

He said if we wanted to cover the actual behavior of the economy in all its complexity, and he literally used the word complexity, we should treat it as an issue of dynamics, process of change.

The MOST Important Thing
How Prof. Steve Keen Predicted the 2008 Crash and What (he says) Economists Still Get Wrong

And everything is changing at all times in capitalism.

The MOST Important Thing
How Prof. Steve Keen Predicted the 2008 Crash and What (he says) Economists Still Get Wrong

But those techniques are beyond us.

The MOST Important Thing
How Prof. Steve Keen Predicted the 2008 Crash and What (he says) Economists Still Get Wrong

They said it would be foolish of us to not do the static analysis, even though it's imperfect.

The MOST Important Thing
How Prof. Steve Keen Predicted the 2008 Crash and What (he says) Economists Still Get Wrong

And then what will happen is we'll do the static analysis, and then our successors will do the dynamic analysis.

The MOST Important Thing
How Prof. Steve Keen Predicted the 2008 Crash and What (he says) Economists Still Get Wrong

Now, in fact, all the attempts they made to make the static models work the way they thought they worked failed.

The MOST Important Thing
How Prof. Steve Keen Predicted the 2008 Crash and What (he says) Economists Still Get Wrong

And ironically, this case is made well by my good friend Yanis Varoufakis in one of his academic papers, that the failure to show that equilibrium applied in these static models led to the economists exalting equilibrium from a half-baked analytic technique of the 19th century to a serious proposition about the nature of capitalism.

The MOST Important Thing
How Prof. Steve Keen Predicted the 2008 Crash and What (he says) Economists Still Get Wrong

So they distorted their theory to hang on to the belief that it reaches equilibrium.

The MOST Important Thing
How Prof. Steve Keen Predicted the 2008 Crash and What (he says) Economists Still Get Wrong

And that has led to an enormous load of nonsense, which has also insulated economics from the developments in genuine sciences.

The MOST Important Thing
How Prof. Steve Keen Predicted the 2008 Crash and What (he says) Economists Still Get Wrong

So it looks like a mathematically sophisticated discussion.

The MOST Important Thing
How Prof. Steve Keen Predicted the 2008 Crash and What (he says) Economists Still Get Wrong

to anybody looking at it from the outside, but it's mathematically simplistic because they're leaving out processes of change.

The MOST Important Thing
How Prof. Steve Keen Predicted the 2008 Crash and What (he says) Economists Still Get Wrong

And they argue they do it in what they call dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models today.

The MOST Important Thing
How Prof. Steve Keen Predicted the 2008 Crash and What (he says) Economists Still Get Wrong

But everything's twisted to be equilibrium when modern sciences have well and truly transcended that and realized that most realistic dynamic and evolutionary systems exist far from equilibrium.

The MOST Important Thing
How Prof. Steve Keen Predicted the 2008 Crash and What (he says) Economists Still Get Wrong

And you need analysis which enables far from equilibrium dynamics to be covered.

The MOST Important Thing
How Prof. Steve Keen Predicted the 2008 Crash and What (he says) Economists Still Get Wrong

And economic theory is completely incapable of doing that.

The MOST Important Thing
How Prof. Steve Keen Predicted the 2008 Crash and What (he says) Economists Still Get Wrong

And if they do it, the rest of the edifice collapses.