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Steve Saretsky

πŸ‘€ Speaker
1526 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Loonie Hour
The Canadian Economy Slips into Recession

I'm going to ask them.

The Loonie Hour
The Canadian Economy Slips into Recession

Or is it just people had too many –

The Loonie Hour
The Canadian Economy Slips into Recession

Like, Keith, I'm assuming the point you're trying to make is like, hey, if the labor market gets significantly worse from here, yeah, I think you would see probably, I think, a significant jump in foreclosures, right?

The Loonie Hour
The Canadian Economy Slips into Recession

I think a lot of it today is.

The Loonie Hour
The Canadian Economy Slips into Recession

Actually, you know what, Keith?

The Loonie Hour
The Canadian Economy Slips into Recession

You know what another thing is too?

The Loonie Hour
The Canadian Economy Slips into Recession

Yeah, well, we chatted a little bit with Ron last night as well.

The Loonie Hour
The Canadian Economy Slips into Recession

And, you know, like not this is a big secret, but the reality is is falling home prices –

The Loonie Hour
The Canadian Economy Slips into Recession

I think is playing a fairly significant factor as well too, right?

The Loonie Hour
The Canadian Economy Slips into Recession

So think about this as like nationally your house prices are down about 20% from the peak.

The Loonie Hour
The Canadian Economy Slips into Recession

It's the sharpest home price correction since like the 80s.

The Loonie Hour
The Canadian Economy Slips into Recession

So it is a historical price correction that we've endured and specifically in certain metros like Vancouver, Toronto, you go to the suburbs, prices are down 30%, right?

The Loonie Hour
The Canadian Economy Slips into Recession

And so normally what I think we've been used to over the last 20 years is

The Loonie Hour
The Canadian Economy Slips into Recession

Listen, if you got into some financial hardship or some difficulties, maybe you can't afford your mortgage anymore, you could just sell.

The Loonie Hour
The Canadian Economy Slips into Recession

You could normally just sell your house.

The Loonie Hour
The Canadian Economy Slips into Recession

You'd have a relatively liquid market.

The Loonie Hour
The Canadian Economy Slips into Recession

And the market would typically be a little bit higher.

The Loonie Hour
The Canadian Economy Slips into Recession

So you could sell, recoup all your down payment and your realtor fees and lawyer fees, and you'd get out.

The Loonie Hour
The Canadian Economy Slips into Recession

I think today, obviously, when home prices are down, call it 20%.

The Loonie Hour
The Canadian Economy Slips into Recession

a lot of that equity has been vaporized.