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Steve Saretsky

👤 Speaker
2315 total appearances
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Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

Of course.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

I think though, what's, what's great about, I mean, we've been talking about this for a while and a lot of other people have been talking about it as well, but, but this,

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

conversation is not amplified anywhere except, you know, the weird world of politics or newsletters or blue skies and X, you know, those platforms.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

Blue sky.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

Yeah.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

But the point is the industry is dominated in Canada by maybe eight or nine players, that said, and they are not going to share this view with anyone.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

So, and again, you know,

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

This is where the world is headed.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

It doesn't mean it's changing tomorrow morning, for example, but it's already started to change.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

And it's a bit of a glacial move until it happens very quickly.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

So ignore the CPI data points that's coming out with the stock market hitting a new high and stuff.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

Watch this bond market because we can potentially see

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

Long-term rates.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

So again, using the 10-year as an example.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

Remember, in 2022, we went from 1% to 4%, just like that.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

Ooh, we heard it that time.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

Hey, thanks.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

But we could easily go from 4% to 6% to 10%.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

Again, very quickly.

The Loonie Hour
Inflation Is Heating Up… Will Central Banks Ignore It?

And when that happens in the bond market, you're looking at 15% to 40% losses.