Steven

The Wright brothers themselves only marketed their plane, primarily marketed their plane to the U.S. Army. Because they did not really foresee much use for an airplane outside of the military. They knew you could strap a machine gun on it and the army might like that. But did the Wright brothers foresee Delta Airlines and Emirates and A380? Like not in a million years. And so...

I think it's true that in a lot of things in life, I think it was Peter Thiel who said this. He was like, when things are going wrong, you underestimate how bad they're going to get. But when things are going right, you underestimate how big it's going to be. I may have butchered that quote, but it's something like that. And it's clear that AI is right.

I think it's true that in a lot of things in life, I think it was Peter Thiel who said this. He was like, when things are going wrong, you underestimate how bad they're going to get. But when things are going right, you underestimate how big it's going to be. I may have butchered that quote, but it's something like that. And it's clear that AI is right.

And so it's almost certainly the case that even the optimists, even the Sam Altman optimists are underestimating where it will go. And a lot of the reason for that is because new technologies is not what the inventor, whoever that might be, built. It's what other people go on to manipulate it as. And that's why the Wright Brothers came up with Blaine and now we have the A380.

And so it's almost certainly the case that even the optimists, even the Sam Altman optimists are underestimating where it will go. And a lot of the reason for that is because new technologies is not what the inventor, whoever that might be, built. It's what other people go on to manipulate it as. And that's why the Wright Brothers came up with Blaine and now we have the A380.

Like it's other people manipulating things along the way to create something just gigantic.

Like it's other people manipulating things along the way to create something just gigantic.

Not even the long term, but in the short term. I'll give you one example. You talked about coding there. We're doing a little remodel on our house right now. And one of the things you can do is take a real picture of a room, upload it in. We use ChatGPT for this and said, hey, paint it this color, remove this wall, put this in. It is better than any designer will be able to do it.

Not even the long term, but in the short term. I'll give you one example. You talked about coding there. We're doing a little remodel on our house right now. And one of the things you can do is take a real picture of a room, upload it in. We use ChatGPT for this and said, hey, paint it this color, remove this wall, put this in. It is better than any designer will be able to do it.

And it's right there, boom, in front of you. Seconds. And you can multiply that story by 10,000 different versions of that story for 10,000 different jobs. I'd see it as a writer where I don't use it to write. I write all my own words.

And it's right there, boom, in front of you. Seconds. And you can multiply that story by 10,000 different versions of that story for 10,000 different jobs. I'd see it as a writer where I don't use it to write. I write all my own words.

But one thing that I've played around with, I don't really use this as that much of a tool, but just more of an experiment of like, I'll upload a chapter from a book that I wrote and say, hey, give me some feedback on this. And It wasn't that good a year ago. It's pretty good today. It's pretty good. So if you're looking for a writing assistant, it's amazing.

But one thing that I've played around with, I don't really use this as that much of a tool, but just more of an experiment of like, I'll upload a chapter from a book that I wrote and say, hey, give me some feedback on this. And It wasn't that good a year ago. It's pretty good today. It's pretty good. So if you're looking for a writing assistant, it's amazing.

Now, the downside of that is everyone knows the high schoolers and the college students who use it to write the essay, just write the whole thing. That's probably not great. But if you're using it as a helper, it's probably the best writing teacher that's out there. So right there in my just tiny little world, I really don't know anything about AI, but

Now, the downside of that is everyone knows the high schoolers and the college students who use it to write the essay, just write the whole thing. That's probably not great. But if you're using it as a helper, it's probably the best writing teacher that's out there. So right there in my just tiny little world, I really don't know anything about AI, but

interior designer, editor, going down the list of jobs that like literally three months ago, I would have been like, oh, that's a very valuable job. And all of a sudden you look at this tool for a dollar a day, as you said, you're like, it's pretty good.

interior designer, editor, going down the list of jobs that like literally three months ago, I would have been like, oh, that's a very valuable job. And all of a sudden you look at this tool for a dollar a day, as you said, you're like, it's pretty good.

I guess one good analogy from my hearing, and it's probably not as powerful as what we're dealing with right now, but the closest is probably, you know, it wasn't that long ago, the late 1800s, that 80% of Americans were farmers. That's what it was. And then the industrial revolution and the tractor and the combine came along.

I guess one good analogy from my hearing, and it's probably not as powerful as what we're dealing with right now, but the closest is probably, you know, it wasn't that long ago, the late 1800s, that 80% of Americans were farmers. That's what it was. And then the industrial revolution and the tractor and the combine came along.

And all of a sudden, it was like, we don't need that many farmers doing this. What people used to do with shovels and rakes can now be done with a tractor. And a lot of those people found themselves out of work. And for them, it was very disruptive, but they also, the farmer, the farm laborer found himself pretty easy to go into the factory.