Stuart Russell

speaker

1,902 appearances 3 recordings 3 series first heard Dec 2018 last heard 24 Jun

Stuart Russell’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 2 in all, peaking in Jun 2026 with 1.

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The Diary Of A CEO with Steven Bartlett · The Man Who Wrote The Book On AI: 2030 Might Be The Point Of No Return! We've Been Lied To About AI! · 4 Dec 2025 podcast

So what chance do you think we should be willing to live with for human extinction?

Me?

Yeah.

Right?

So one in a million for a nuclear meltdown.

Extinction is much worse.

Yeah.

So if you said one in a billion, right, then you'd expect one extinction per billion years.

There's a background.

So one of the ways people work out these risk levels is also to look at the background.

But other ways of going extinct would include, you know, giant asteroid crashes into the Earth.

And you can roughly calculate what those probabilities are.

We can look at how many extinction-level events have happened in the past, and, you know, maybe it's half a dozen.

So maybe it's like a one in 500 million year event, right?

So somewhere in that range, right?

Somewhere between one in 10 million, which is the best nuclear power plants, and one in 500 million or one in a billion, which is the background risk from giant asteroids.

So let's say we settle on 100 million.

One in 100 million chance per year.

Well, what is it according to the CEOs?

25%.

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