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Susanna Batley

πŸ‘€ Speaker
74 total appearances
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Appearances Over Time

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Shared Lunch
How SpaceX rewrote the IPO rules

And now these technology companies have really come to the conclusion that actually to win the AI arms race requires

Shared Lunch
How SpaceX rewrote the IPO rules

massive capital intensity.

Shared Lunch
How SpaceX rewrote the IPO rules

And that's in compute, data centers, buying Nvidia chips, and then also the power to generate all of this.

Shared Lunch
How SpaceX rewrote the IPO rules

And so private markets, while they've been pretty successful at being able to help companies raise capital, there are limits.

Shared Lunch
How SpaceX rewrote the IPO rules

And SpaceX, I think, is a great example where $75 billion at IPO, largest in history,

Shared Lunch
How SpaceX rewrote the IPO rules

But I think we can point to others, not just IPOs, but other companies that are just raising more money.

Shared Lunch
How SpaceX rewrote the IPO rules

So right before the SpaceX transaction, Alphabet, the parent company of Google, raised about $80 billion.

Shared Lunch
How SpaceX rewrote the IPO rules

So that was actually the largest equity raise on record.

Shared Lunch
How SpaceX rewrote the IPO rules

So it does feel like we're in a new era.

Shared Lunch
How SpaceX rewrote the IPO rules

So in terms of unprecedented, it's really the scale.

Shared Lunch
How SpaceX rewrote the IPO rules

And I think that those are the things that are blowing us away is those just the sheer numbers, you know, 75 billion, the very large escrows that are going to be coming onto market in the next few months.

Shared Lunch
How SpaceX rewrote the IPO rules

But in terms of some of those other dynamics, they are what we would probably expect for a successful IPO.

Shared Lunch
How SpaceX rewrote the IPO rules

There's been more demand than supply, which is ideally what you want.

Shared Lunch
How SpaceX rewrote the IPO rules

And there's been a lot of net buying and the trading's been very, very healthy.

Shared Lunch
How SpaceX rewrote the IPO rules

And that's been reflected in a higher price now than what the shares listed at.

Shared Lunch
How SpaceX rewrote the IPO rules

What will be interesting is also beyond that 366-day period as well, when all escrows have come off, is around SpaceX and what additional capital they'll need to raise.

Shared Lunch
How SpaceX rewrote the IPO rules

$75 billion is obviously a massive number, but actually I saw one analyst report that had looked at that S1 document and looked at all of the contracted commitments that SpaceX has.

Shared Lunch
How SpaceX rewrote the IPO rules

out till 2030 and estimates that they will require around $235 billion in order to fulfil those commitments over the next four years.

Shared Lunch
How SpaceX rewrote the IPO rules

So $75 billion is obviously a good start but that is only around the third and so it will be interesting beyond that first year as well SpaceX may well come back to the market and that obviously has implications for supply and demand as well.

Shared Lunch
How SpaceX rewrote the IPO rules

Oh, I love hearing stories like that.