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Susannah Batley

šŸ‘¤ Speaker
100 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Shared Lunch
The investor’s guide to the SpaceX IPO

I think it's around $18.7 billion in revenue over the last 12 months, $5 billion loss.

Shared Lunch
The investor’s guide to the SpaceX IPO

But if you look at within that, as you say, really the cash cow is the Starlink business.

Shared Lunch
The investor’s guide to the SpaceX IPO

I think it's generated around about 11.4 billion of that 18 billion or so revenue and actually provided 4.4 billion of cash contribution to the business.

Shared Lunch
The investor’s guide to the SpaceX IPO

So it's the part of the business that is making the money.

Shared Lunch
The investor’s guide to the SpaceX IPO

In saying that, though, I think the last 12 months, possibly not a good indicator of what's to come.

Shared Lunch
The investor’s guide to the SpaceX IPO

They just announced this huge partnership with Anthropic that's worth about US $15 billion per annum.

Shared Lunch
The investor’s guide to the SpaceX IPO

And really, they're positioning it as an AI company.

Shared Lunch
The investor’s guide to the SpaceX IPO

And it's all about compute and reselling compute assets.

Shared Lunch
The investor’s guide to the SpaceX IPO

and about ai enterprise uh applications you know definitely it's positioned as that wider play that elon musk is pretty famous for around vertical integration and um the convergence of various pieces of the puzzle together if we look i suppose a little bit back to what we started on here which was talking about the ipo structure and how we work this through is a period whereby the people that have had money in the company as a private company

Shared Lunch
The investor’s guide to the SpaceX IPO

And to Jackie's point, those supply and demand dynamics are pretty interesting because if we look at day one of the IPO or at the IPO, I think looking to raise around US$75 billion,

Shared Lunch
The investor’s guide to the SpaceX IPO

Sounds like an enormous number, and it is in my mind.

Shared Lunch
The investor’s guide to the SpaceX IPO

But in the context of a $1.75 trillion valuation, actually, that's a very small portion.

Shared Lunch
The investor’s guide to the SpaceX IPO

I think it's about 4% or 5%.

Shared Lunch
The investor’s guide to the SpaceX IPO

And there is a huge amount of demand for this investment around the world.

Shared Lunch
The investor’s guide to the SpaceX IPO

And actually, interestingly, they are allocating around 30% to retail, which is pretty high in the context of this sort of

Shared Lunch
The investor’s guide to the SpaceX IPO

And so we could get a lot more demand than that supply of 75 billion.

Shared Lunch
The investor’s guide to the SpaceX IPO

However, then exactly as Jackie has pointed out, there's these other windows where a lot of supply could be on the market.

Shared Lunch
The investor’s guide to the SpaceX IPO

And so the question is, how do those supply and demand dynamics change over time?

Shared Lunch
The investor’s guide to the SpaceX IPO

There can be short sellers in the market as well that are trying to anticipate some of these supply, demand imbalances.

Shared Lunch
The investor’s guide to the SpaceX IPO

And that can also put further pressure sort of up or down on the price.

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