Tate Brown

And so I think if we were to go back in, it would be strikes on the nuclear program.

No way.

Fully decimated.

Well, and then the third point here is Trump, a month or two ago, made the statement that if they touch protesters, if they start hunting protesters, if people go in, that is a very hard stance that you cannot back down.

Well, the reason I'm skeptical that the victory condition for the United States here is regime change is, I mean, A, just what the Trump administration has said and then obviously what happened last summer.

But then B, the Trump administration and kind of this philosophy of this, I guess you would call it the new right or something along those lines, is that they believe the Middle East is naturally liberalizing anyway.

This is why they're building out the Abraham Accords is they're banking on the fact that

These countries are liberalizing.

They're becoming more friendly towards the West.

So I think in the back of the heads of a lot of these decision makers and the Trump administration is they're thinking like, hey, on a long enough timeline, Iran is liberalizing.

If you go and you go on YouTube and you type in nightlife in Tehran and you see people walking around with a camera in Tehran, women aren't wearing headscarves.

They're like having parties.

They're like, again, it's not quite New York City, but it definitely doesn't seem like this fundamentalist Islamic regime like the Ayatollah sort of portrays themselves as.

Yeah, obviously toppling it is beneficial for the Abraham Accords.

But I'm just saying that I think they're under the impression that Ayatollah is on borrowed time anyway.

And so there's not really much sense in sort of –

allocating all these resources, again, having a potential quagmire, when instead they just eliminate the problem of the nuclear program and then continue business as usual.

Yes, but more.

Well, he's trying to rebuild our position in the world as the world's police, because after the Afghanistan withdrawal and then Ukraine breaking down, everything happening under the Biden administration's nose, the way the world viewed the United States during that period was that we're actually, in many ways, insufficient as the world's police.

So Trump is trying to stitch together that vision again for the world.