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Terence Tao

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
2047 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Lex Fridman Podcast
#472 โ€“ Terence Tao: Hardest Problems in Mathematics, Physics & the Future of AI

But the mathematical point of the model is that you want to have fewer parameters in your model than data points in your observational set.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#472 โ€“ Terence Tao: Hardest Problems in Mathematics, Physics & the Future of AI

So if you have a model with 10 parameters that explains 10 observations, that is a completely useless model.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#472 โ€“ Terence Tao: Hardest Problems in Mathematics, Physics & the Future of AI

It's what's called overfitted.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#472 โ€“ Terence Tao: Hardest Problems in Mathematics, Physics & the Future of AI

But like if you have a model with two parameters and it explains a trillion observations, which is basically, so yeah, the dark matter model, I think it has like 14 parameters and it explains petabytes of data that the astronomers have.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#472 โ€“ Terence Tao: Hardest Problems in Mathematics, Physics & the Future of AI

You can think of a theory, like one way to think about a physical mathematical theory is it's a compression of the universe and a data compression.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#472 โ€“ Terence Tao: Hardest Problems in Mathematics, Physics & the Future of AI

So, you know, you have these petabytes of observations.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#472 โ€“ Terence Tao: Hardest Problems in Mathematics, Physics & the Future of AI

You'd like to compress it to a model which you can describe in five pages and specify a certain number of parameters.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#472 โ€“ Terence Tao: Hardest Problems in Mathematics, Physics & the Future of AI

And if it can fit to reasonable accuracy,

Lex Fridman Podcast
#472 โ€“ Terence Tao: Hardest Problems in Mathematics, Physics & the Future of AI

almost all of your observations.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#472 โ€“ Terence Tao: Hardest Problems in Mathematics, Physics & the Future of AI

I mean, the more compression that you make, the better your theory.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#472 โ€“ Terence Tao: Hardest Problems in Mathematics, Physics & the Future of AI

Einstein had a quote like that, the most incomprehensible thing about the universe is that it is comprehensible.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#472 โ€“ Terence Tao: Hardest Problems in Mathematics, Physics & the Future of AI

Right.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#472 โ€“ Terence Tao: Hardest Problems in Mathematics, Physics & the Future of AI

And not just comprehensible.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#472 โ€“ Terence Tao: Hardest Problems in Mathematics, Physics & the Future of AI

You can do an equation like E equals MC squared.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#472 โ€“ Terence Tao: Hardest Problems in Mathematics, Physics & the Future of AI

There is actually some mathematical possible explanation for that.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#472 โ€“ Terence Tao: Hardest Problems in Mathematics, Physics & the Future of AI

So there's this phenomenon in mathematics called universality.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#472 โ€“ Terence Tao: Hardest Problems in Mathematics, Physics & the Future of AI

So many complex systems at the macro scale are coming out of lots of tiny interactions at the macro scale.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#472 โ€“ Terence Tao: Hardest Problems in Mathematics, Physics & the Future of AI

And normally, because of the common form of explosion, you would think that the macroscale equations must be exponentially more complicated than the microscale ones.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#472 โ€“ Terence Tao: Hardest Problems in Mathematics, Physics & the Future of AI

And they are, if you want to solve them completely exactly.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#472 โ€“ Terence Tao: Hardest Problems in Mathematics, Physics & the Future of AI

Like, if you want to model...