Dwarkesh Podcast
Terence Tao โ Kepler, Newton, and the true nature of mathematical discovery
So it's going to be stochastic.
Dwarkesh Podcast
Terence Tao โ Kepler, Newton, and the true nature of mathematical discovery
I think AIs currently are very good at certain things, but really terrible at others.
Dwarkesh Podcast
Terence Tao โ Kepler, Newton, and the true nature of mathematical discovery
And while you can sort of add more and more frameworks on top to kind of reduce the error rates and make them work with each other a bit more and so forth, it feels like we don't have all the ingredients to like really have a truly satisfactory sort of replacement for all intellectual tasks.
Dwarkesh Podcast
Terence Tao โ Kepler, Newton, and the true nature of mathematical discovery
It is complimentary currently.
Dwarkesh Podcast
Terence Tao โ Kepler, Newton, and the true nature of mathematical discovery
It's not a replacement.
Dwarkesh Podcast
Terence Tao โ Kepler, Newton, and the true nature of mathematical discovery
But maybe, I mean, because current level AIs will accelerate science in so many ways.
Dwarkesh Podcast
Terence Tao โ Kepler, Newton, and the true nature of mathematical discovery
Hopefully, new discoveries, new breakthroughs will happen more quickly.
Dwarkesh Podcast
Terence Tao โ Kepler, Newton, and the true nature of mathematical discovery
It's possible that also by somehow destroying serendipity, we actually inhibit certain types of progress.
Dwarkesh Podcast
Terence Tao โ Kepler, Newton, and the true nature of mathematical discovery
Anything is possible, really, at this point.
Dwarkesh Podcast
Terence Tao โ Kepler, Newton, and the true nature of mathematical discovery
I think the world is very, very unpredictable at this point in time.
Dwarkesh Podcast
Terence Tao โ Kepler, Newton, and the true nature of mathematical discovery
Yeah, so we live in a time of change.
Dwarkesh Podcast
Terence Tao โ Kepler, Newton, and the true nature of mathematical discovery
It is, as I said, we live in a particularly unpredictable era.
Dwarkesh Podcast
Terence Tao โ Kepler, Newton, and the true nature of mathematical discovery
And I think things that we've taken for granted for centuries may not hold anymore.
Dwarkesh Podcast
Terence Tao โ Kepler, Newton, and the true nature of mathematical discovery
So, yeah, the way we...
Dwarkesh Podcast
Terence Tao โ Kepler, Newton, and the true nature of mathematical discovery
uh, do everything and not just mathematics, um, or change.
Dwarkesh Podcast
Terence Tao โ Kepler, Newton, and the true nature of mathematical discovery
um,
Dwarkesh Podcast
Terence Tao โ Kepler, Newton, and the true nature of mathematical discovery
In many ways, I would prefer the much more boring, quiet era where things are much the same as they were 10 years ago, 20 years ago.
Dwarkesh Podcast
Terence Tao โ Kepler, Newton, and the true nature of mathematical discovery
I think one just has to embrace that there's going to be a lot of change and that the things that you study, some of them may become obsolete or revolutionized, but some things will be retained.
Dwarkesh Podcast
Terence Tao โ Kepler, Newton, and the true nature of mathematical discovery
So you somehow always have to keep an eye on, like, there'll be a lot of opportunities for things that you wouldn't be able to do before.
Dwarkesh Podcast
Terence Tao โ Kepler, Newton, and the true nature of mathematical discovery
So, I mean, in math, you know, you previously had to basically go through years and years of education, be a math PhD before you could contribute to the frontier of math research.