Thomas Grove
speaker
89 appearances
8 recordings
2 series
first heard May 2025
last heard 31 Aug
Thomas Grove’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 4 in all, peaking in Mar 2026 with 2.
Appearances
WSJ What’s News · U.S. Strikes Iran to Block New Sea Mines in Strait of Hormuz · 31 Aug 2026
podcast
What we've seen over the last several years, particularly, is Russia's increasing reliance on China as an economic partner has made it almost hostage in some ways, particularly when it comes to its domestic market.
And so as time progresses, you see a weakening of the Russian economy and a kind of stagnation, whereas China's role is just getting kind of stronger and stronger, both globally, but I think also within the relationship as well.
on NATO.
The status quo really suits China so well, because it keeps Russia and the Russian economy relatively hostage to China.
So I think they would be happy to see things stay as they are and and just watch the Russian economy bleed, so to speak.
What I think they don't want, though, is any kind of escalation.
Within Ukraine, perhaps, but I think the red line is when you start getting into uh into Europe and NATO.
But while the two powers want different outcomes from the Ukraine war, Thomas says their interests converge on Iran.
Russia wants to keep Iran afloat by all means.
It's providing drone technology to Iran.
Intelligence, as we've reported out, to Iran as well, China has also supported Iran in various ways.
And I think this is one focal point for the both of them.
In terms of trying to undermine this kind of western global order
What we're seeing is what seems to be a very well-timed campaign by the Ukrainians against Crimea, which as we know, Russia annexed in 2014.
What we're seeing is just hundreds of drones flying to Crimea, hitting oil installations, fuel installations, energy infrastructure, power infrastructure.
And what we've seen is that this kind of incredibly prized asset has turned into a liability for Moscow.
And tourists have been leaving in droves, numbers in the thousands, driving back across the only route available to them to get back into Russia, the Kerch Bridge.
And regional authorities put a state of emergency in place late last week.
So things are looking pretty serious at the moment.
What we're seeing is Ukraine's capabilities changing significantly.
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