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Tim Fist

πŸ‘€ Speaker
166 total appearances
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Your Undivided Attention
We Need AI Treaties. This is How We Get Them

So this was a treaty that was signed to try and prevent like a whole category of nuclear weapons from existing, which were those with flight times of less than 10 minutes.

Your Undivided Attention
We Need AI Treaties. This is How We Get Them

Because that is extremely dangerous, you don't have much warning, you could sort of like attack immediately.

Your Undivided Attention
We Need AI Treaties. This is How We Get Them

And so this was primarily targeted at launches that were located in Europe, between sort of like Europe and the USSR.

Your Undivided Attention
We Need AI Treaties. This is How We Get Them

And this treaty was actually enabled by an X-ray scanning technology.

Your Undivided Attention
We Need AI Treaties. This is How We Get Them

This was called CargoScan, which they placed this technology, the US and the Soviet Union developed this together and deployed it at Soviet missile factories.

Your Undivided Attention
We Need AI Treaties. This is How We Get Them

And what this technology did is for every single rail car that was coming out of this missile factory, that was scanned by this X-ray machine to measure the diameter of the missile to ensure that it was not one of these intermediate range missiles that have a flight time of less than 10 minutes.

Your Undivided Attention
We Need AI Treaties. This is How We Get Them

This is cited as the key thing that actually made this treaty around this kind of nuclear weapon possible.

Your Undivided Attention
We Need AI Treaties. This is How We Get Them

So the existence of that X-ray technology made it such that we could put in place this agreement that we wanted to have.

Your Undivided Attention
We Need AI Treaties. This is How We Get Them

Exactly.

Your Undivided Attention
We Need AI Treaties. This is How We Get Them

And the interesting thing about this is that the reason that they used x-rays as opposed to other kinds of scanning techniques is it gave enough information to measure the diameter of the missile, but not other parts of the design of the missile, which were seen as sensitive secrets that the Soviet Union wanted to keep secure.

Your Undivided Attention
We Need AI Treaties. This is How We Get Them

And so this is also an example of a technology that was deployed that was sufficiently privacy-preserving such that both parties were happy sharing that information.

Your Undivided Attention
We Need AI Treaties. This is How We Get Them

Yeah, totally.

Your Undivided Attention
We Need AI Treaties. This is How We Get Them

I think the US and China are both worried about models with the cyber attack, cyber offensive capabilities of mythos falling into the hands of criminal or terrorist actors.

Your Undivided Attention
We Need AI Treaties. This is How We Get Them

Obviously, there's like big consequences for the global financial system and shared infrastructure if these models are misused.

Your Undivided Attention
We Need AI Treaties. This is How We Get Them

And I do think that

Your Undivided Attention
We Need AI Treaties. This is How We Get Them

there's that sort of like talking about like misuse by non-state actors and that there's the coordinated slowdown that labs are talking about.

Your Undivided Attention
We Need AI Treaties. This is How We Get Them

And I think that these could in principle, and I'm sure we'll get into this in more detail, but these could in principle share a lot of the same underlying verification technology in a way that today's moment around mythos could be really used productively in the future if we want that optionality.

Your Undivided Attention
We Need AI Treaties. This is How We Get Them

Yeah, I guess to sort of restate the principles here, like we've talked about the idea that if you want to do anything serious at the frontier of air development, you need access to a large number of chips.

Your Undivided Attention
We Need AI Treaties. This is How We Get Them

And so the things that you would want to verify is stuff to do with how are you actually using those chips?

Your Undivided Attention
We Need AI Treaties. This is How We Get Them

Are you using it for the stuff that we've agreed is good, like alignment research?