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Tim Welch

πŸ‘€ Speaker
54 total appearances
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Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Detail
The political battle over Labour's transport policy

A lot of it feels like last-minute, campaign-oriented promises rather than deep public transport and transport in general thought.

The Detail
The political battle over Labour's transport policy

Well, it really depends on your perspective.

The Detail
The political battle over Labour's transport policy

So in terms of providing a broad benefit to everybody who uses public transport, there is a pretty good potential that quite a few people could benefit.

The Detail
The political battle over Labour's transport policy

Like this would actually reduce the cost of living for a large number of people.

The Detail
The political battle over Labour's transport policy

What is going to draw criticism and already has some of those scratching our head is that

The Detail
The political battle over Labour's transport policy

What does this mean for the regions that already have the cap in place in terms of their costs?

The Detail
The political battle over Labour's transport policy

Who benefits the most?

The Detail
The political battle over Labour's transport policy

We're likely to see big benefits going to the most expensive transport services.

The Detail
The political battle over Labour's transport policy

And whether we should have maybe targeted those who are really struggling to pay for their transportation when there's already mechanisms in place that can more easily and maybe even more cheaply target those individuals.

The Detail
The political battle over Labour's transport policy

We certainly are a car loving nation.

The Detail
The political battle over Labour's transport policy

We hold, we kind of go back and forth between the first and third in the world for the number of vehicles we personally own.

The Detail
The political battle over Labour's transport policy

So we have a lot of cars, we drive them quite a bit, and we've built a lot of our cities or rebuilt them really around the idea that most people will drive.

The Detail
The political battle over Labour's transport policy

And as a result, that's what's happened.

The Detail
The political battle over Labour's transport policy

But we also have quite a bit of evidence over the years from our own kind of national experiments of half price fares and free fares and things like that, that show people do respond to changes in price of public transportation.

The Detail
The political battle over Labour's transport policy

We don't have to get into kind of the economic terms, but the idea is generally that there's an elasticity.

The Detail
The political battle over Labour's transport policy

So as the fare changes, people do react.

The Detail
The political battle over Labour's transport policy

And that's about...

The Detail
The political battle over Labour's transport policy

what we call 0.4 elasticity.

The Detail
The political battle over Labour's transport policy

So for every 10% increase or decrease in the cost of a fare, there's a 4% change in the number of people that will ride public transportation.

The Detail
The political battle over Labour's transport policy

Yeah, so some of the issues will likely crop up if this goes through in our busiest lines, and particularly for bus lines in Auckland.

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