Tobi Lütke

And he sort of made a study of optimists throughout time.

And the conclusion of the book is...

Everyone who made future predictions that they're optimistic was ridiculed, underperformed the people who were naysayers about the future.

Very much so.

Got a lot of shit for it.

And all of them were too pessimistic for the future that actually ended up happening on every issue they were optimistic about.

So it's like, it's funny.

We just have a bias towards the negative.

And so, you know, I'm long-term optimistic, but I think the reason why we end up in before optimistic outcomes is because the high agency pessimists help us steer us around the problems, right?

So like the pessimists are really, really important as well.

So, you know, I think this is how it composes.

I mean, we talked about AI earlier.

Clearly, I mean, from an individual perspective, there's going to be a lot of disruption.

But from a society perspective, there's just a lot to like that we might get to.

And frankly, it's there anyway.

So, like, even, like, this is not even, like...

You can't stop it.

But I think there's a lot of people talking about the negative downsides without the clear and kind of amazing things that could happen.

And so I think it's worth keeping those in mind, too.

In industry, it's a bit more of a mix.